Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 30 emphasize a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions, with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, squally thunderstorms, and high humidity (80-95%) expected to suppress peak heating. Light winds and abundant moisture from the trough favor maximum temperatures in the 27-31°C range, positioning 29-30°C as the most probable outcomes consistent with current model consensus and recent observations of 32-34°C on August 29 under clearer spells. Increased convective activity and cloud cover over the past 48 hours have already moderated daytime highs relative to earlier in the week. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates heavily, assigning minimal odds to outliers above 31°C given the persistent instability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
29°C 48%
30°C 36%
31°C 12%
32°C 3%
$21,955 KL.
$21,955 KL.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
48%
30°C
36%
31°C
12%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 48%
30°C 36%
31°C 12%
32°C 3%
$21,955 KL.
$21,955 KL.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
48%
30°C
36%
31°C
12%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 30 emphasize a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions, with mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, squally thunderstorms, and high humidity (80-95%) expected to suppress peak heating. Light winds and abundant moisture from the trough favor maximum temperatures in the 27-31°C range, positioning 29-30°C as the most probable outcomes consistent with current model consensus and recent observations of 32-34°C on August 29 under clearer spells. Increased convective activity and cloud cover over the past 48 hours have already moderated daytime highs relative to earlier in the week. Traders appear to weigh these official guidance updates heavily, assigning minimal odds to outliers above 31°C given the persistent instability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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