Recent numerical weather model consensus points to a peak temperature of 29–30°C in Milan on August 29 under partly cloudy skies, light west-southwest winds of 5–10 km/h, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions favor moderate daytime heating following scattered showers on August 28 that limited prior warming. Afternoon humidity near 45–50% and a freezing level above 4,000 m support efficient but not extreme insolation typical of late-August Lombardy. Minor differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing across runs create the tight 29°C versus 30°C market split, with lower probabilities for 31°C or higher reflecting limited potential for stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Updated model guidance and local observations in the final 24 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on August 29?
30°C 40%
29°C 37%
31°C 8%
28°C 6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
37%
30°C
40%
31°C
8%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 40%
29°C 37%
31°C 8%
28°C 6%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
6%
29°C
37%
30°C
40%
31°C
8%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus points to a peak temperature of 29–30°C in Milan on August 29 under partly cloudy skies, light west-southwest winds of 5–10 km/h, and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions favor moderate daytime heating following scattered showers on August 28 that limited prior warming. Afternoon humidity near 45–50% and a freezing level above 4,000 m support efficient but not extreme insolation typical of late-August Lombardy. Minor differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing across runs create the tight 29°C versus 30°C market split, with lower probabilities for 31°C or higher reflecting limited potential for stronger subsidence or clearer skies. Updated model guidance and local observations in the final 24 hours will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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