**Forecasts for Milan on August 29, 2026, point to a minimum temperature in the 18–22°C range, with the tightest market clustering around 16–19°C reflecting model consensus on overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies and light winds of 2–7 km/h.** High pressure and weak pressure gradients are allowing efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 29–30°C, with dew points in the mid-teens supporting modest humidity that limits excessive cooling. Official and ensemble guidance (including GFS-based runs) show early-morning readings bottoming near 19–21°C before sunrise, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Po Valley where urban heat island effects in Milan typically add 1–2°C to rural minima. The close spread in implied probabilities around 16–19°C captures residual uncertainty from slight differences in cloud cover timing, wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing across models, while lower odds on 13°C or below or 23°C+ align with the absence of strong cold advection or widespread cloud cover that would blunt the nocturnal drop. Updated model runs through the evening of August 28 continue to support this narrow band, with any last adjustments likely hinging on final satellite trends in low-level moisture.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Milan on August 29?
14°C 50%
22°C 50%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
13°C or below
5%
14°C
50%
15°C
22%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
28%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
50%
23°C or higher
42%
14°C 50%
22°C 50%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
13°C or below
5%
14°C
50%
15°C
22%
16°C
27%
17°C
27%
18°C
27%
19°C
28%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
50%
23°C or higher
42%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts for Milan on August 29, 2026, point to a minimum temperature in the 18–22°C range, with the tightest market clustering around 16–19°C reflecting model consensus on overnight radiative cooling under mostly clear or partly cloudy skies and light winds of 2–7 km/h.** High pressure and weak pressure gradients are allowing efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 29–30°C, with dew points in the mid-teens supporting modest humidity that limits excessive cooling. Official and ensemble guidance (including GFS-based runs) show early-morning readings bottoming near 19–21°C before sunrise, consistent with late-summer climatology for the Po Valley where urban heat island effects in Milan typically add 1–2°C to rural minima. The close spread in implied probabilities around 16–19°C captures residual uncertainty from slight differences in cloud cover timing, wind direction shifts, and boundary-layer mixing across models, while lower odds on 13°C or below or 23°C+ align with the absence of strong cold advection or widespread cloud cover that would blunt the nocturnal drop. Updated model runs through the evening of August 28 continue to support this narrow band, with any last adjustments likely hinging on final satellite trends in low-level moisture.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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