**Forecast consensus from models including those used by IMGW-PIB points to a maximum near 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30, 2026, as a building high-pressure ridge brings warmer air advection under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Recent cooling from a passing front on August 29 has left surface temperatures starting from overnight lows around 15–18°C, with daytime heating modulated by moderate southwest winds and variable cloud cover that could trim peak readings by 1–2°C if thicker layers develop. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect this sensitivity, placing the likely range tightly between 24–28°C depending on exact timing of any weak frontal moisture or solar insolation. Official briefings highlight increasing warmth through the period but note potential for localized showers or increased cloudiness that would differentiate the 27°C outcome from slightly cooler alternatives. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model updates heavily ahead of final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 30?
27°C 42%
28°C 41%
26°C 23%
25°C 20%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
19%
25°C
20%
26°C
23%
27°C
42%
28°C
41%
29°C
7%
30°C
6%
31°C or higher
2%
27°C 42%
28°C 41%
26°C 23%
25°C 20%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
19%
25°C
20%
26°C
23%
27°C
42%
28°C
41%
29°C
7%
30°C
6%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from models including those used by IMGW-PIB points to a maximum near 26–27°C in Warsaw on August 30, 2026, as a building high-pressure ridge brings warmer air advection under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies.** Recent cooling from a passing front on August 29 has left surface temperatures starting from overnight lows around 15–18°C, with daytime heating modulated by moderate southwest winds and variable cloud cover that could trim peak readings by 1–2°C if thicker layers develop. Ensemble spreads in global models reflect this sensitivity, placing the likely range tightly between 24–28°C depending on exact timing of any weak frontal moisture or solar insolation. Official briefings highlight increasing warmth through the period but note potential for localized showers or increased cloudiness that would differentiate the 27°C outcome from slightly cooler alternatives. Traders appear to weigh these near-term model updates heavily ahead of final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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