**Forecast models show Qingdao's August 28 maximum temperature centered near 28–30 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, producing the tight 50 % market-implied odds across bins.** Coastal Shandong lies under weak southerly flow with modest onshore sea-breeze moderation and increasing mid-level moisture, limiting strong daytime heating. Ensemble guidance exhibits modest spread in cloud timing and coverage, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical late-August normals near 29 °C provide context, but the current pattern favors values straddling 27–31 °C rather than extremes. Updated high-resolution runs and official CMA guidance over the next 48 hours will narrow the likely range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 28?
25°C or below 100%
26°C 100%
27°C 100%
28°C 100%
25°C or below
100%
26°C
100%
27°C
100%
28°C
100%
29°C
100%
30°C
100%
31°C
100%
32°C
100%
33°C
100%
34°C
100%
35°C or higher
100%
25°C or below 100%
26°C 100%
27°C 100%
28°C 100%
25°C or below
100%
26°C
100%
27°C
100%
28°C
100%
29°C
100%
30°C
100%
31°C
100%
32°C
100%
33°C
100%
34°C
100%
35°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models show Qingdao's August 28 maximum temperature centered near 28–30 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, producing the tight 50 % market-implied odds across bins.** Coastal Shandong lies under weak southerly flow with modest onshore sea-breeze moderation and increasing mid-level moisture, limiting strong daytime heating. Ensemble guidance exhibits modest spread in cloud timing and coverage, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Historical late-August normals near 29 °C provide context, but the current pattern favors values straddling 27–31 °C rather than extremes. Updated high-resolution runs and official CMA guidance over the next 48 hours will narrow the likely range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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