Current forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and international models indicate a maximum of 14–16°C for Wellington on August 26 under strengthening northwesterly flow, which typically advects milder maritime air and supports the market’s leading 16°C outcome at 60.5% implied probability. Seasonal outlooks favor near-average August temperatures, with historical highs averaging 12–13°C, but recent model runs show a slight warm bias from reduced southerly influence and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Key resolution thresholds hinge on official MetService observations; any shift toward stronger southerlies or persistent showers could favor the 15°C contract, while clearer conditions would reinforce the upper end of the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
16°C 61%
15°C 33%
17°C 9%
18°C 2%
MỚI
$25,931 KL.
MỚI
$25,931 KL.
Aug 26, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
33%
16°C
61%
17°C
9%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 61%
15°C 33%
17°C 9%
18°C 2%
MỚI
$25,931 KL.
MỚI
$25,931 KL.
Aug 26, 2026
10°C or below
$1,332 KL.
<1%
11°C
$289 KL.
<1%
12°C
$1,333 KL.
<1%
13°C
$700 KL.
<1%
14°C
$2,156 KL.
1%
15°C
$8,117 KL.
33%
16°C
$4,260 KL.
61%
17°C
$5,187 KL.
9%
18°C
$2,039 KL.
2%
19°C
$252 KL.
<1%
20°C or higher
$269 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and international models indicate a maximum of 14–16°C for Wellington on August 26 under strengthening northwesterly flow, which typically advects milder maritime air and supports the market’s leading 16°C outcome at 60.5% implied probability. Seasonal outlooks favor near-average August temperatures, with historical highs averaging 12–13°C, but recent model runs show a slight warm bias from reduced southerly influence and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Key resolution thresholds hinge on official MetService observations; any shift toward stronger southerlies or persistent showers could favor the 15°C contract, while clearer conditions would reinforce the upper end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$25,931Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and international models indicate a maximum of 14–16°C for Wellington on August 26 under strengthening northwesterly flow, which typically advects milder maritime air and supports the market’s leading 16°C outcome at 60.5% implied probability. Seasonal outlooks favor near-average August temperatures, with historical highs averaging 12–13°C, but recent model runs show a slight warm bias from reduced southerly influence and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Key resolution thresholds hinge on official MetService observations; any shift toward stronger southerlies or persistent showers could favor the 15°C contract, while clearer conditions would reinforce the upper end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$25,931Ngày kết thúc
Aug 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from MetService, NIWA, and international models indicate a maximum of 14–16°C for Wellington on August 26 under strengthening northwesterly flow, which typically advects milder maritime air and supports the market’s leading 16°C outcome at 60.5% implied probability. Seasonal outlooks favor near-average August temperatures, with historical highs averaging 12–13°C, but recent model runs show a slight warm bias from reduced southerly influence and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. Key resolution thresholds hinge on official MetService observations; any shift toward stronger southerlies or persistent showers could favor the 15°C contract, while clearer conditions would reinforce the upper end of the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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