Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds centers on an 82–85°F high for Los Angeles on August 24, with 82–83°F holding the lead at 37%. This positioning stems from the latest National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance showing modest daytime heating under a weak onshore flow and partial marine-layer influence that caps extreme warmth in the Los Angeles Basin. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of the sea breeze, urban heat-island effects, and any overnight low-cloud clearing that alters the diurnal temperature range. With probabilities closely clustered between 80–87°F, small forecast shifts in model runs expected overnight could readily move the distribution before official observations close the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 24?
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 28%
80-81°F 19%
86-87°F 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
75°F or below
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94°F or higher
3%
82-83°F 37%
84-85°F 28%
80-81°F 19%
86-87°F 11%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
75°F or below
$41 KL.
1%
76-77°F
$5 KL.
2%
78-79°F
$55 KL.
7%
80-81°F
$83 KL.
19%
82-83°F
$831 KL.
37%
84-85°F
$250 KL.
28%
86-87°F
$59 KL.
11%
88-89°F
$41 KL.
3%
90-91°F
$36 KL.
1%
92-93°F
$5 KL.
3%
94°F or higher
$5 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds centers on an 82–85°F high for Los Angeles on August 24, with 82–83°F holding the lead at 37%. This positioning stems from the latest National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance showing modest daytime heating under a weak onshore flow and partial marine-layer influence that caps extreme warmth in the Los Angeles Basin. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of the sea breeze, urban heat-island effects, and any overnight low-cloud clearing that alters the diurnal temperature range. With probabilities closely clustered between 80–87°F, small forecast shifts in model runs expected overnight could readily move the distribution before official observations close the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,411Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds centers on an 82–85°F high for Los Angeles on August 24, with 82–83°F holding the lead at 37%. This positioning stems from the latest National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance showing modest daytime heating under a weak onshore flow and partial marine-layer influence that caps extreme warmth in the Los Angeles Basin. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of the sea breeze, urban heat-island effects, and any overnight low-cloud clearing that alters the diurnal temperature range. With probabilities closely clustered between 80–87°F, small forecast shifts in model runs expected overnight could readily move the distribution before official observations close the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,411Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds centers on an 82–85°F high for Los Angeles on August 24, with 82–83°F holding the lead at 37%. This positioning stems from the latest National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance showing modest daytime heating under a weak onshore flow and partial marine-layer influence that caps extreme warmth in the Los Angeles Basin. Key differentiating factors include the strength and timing of the sea breeze, urban heat-island effects, and any overnight low-cloud clearing that alters the diurnal temperature range. With probabilities closely clustered between 80–87°F, small forecast shifts in model runs expected overnight could readily move the distribution before official observations close the market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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