**Trader consensus has converged on 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in São Paulo on August 24, 2026, reflecting official station observations placing the daily minimum near 13–14°C amid cooler-than-average winter conditions.** Data from São Paulo monitoring sites show a minimum of approximately 13.2°C with an average of 14.3°C and maximum of 16.3°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal norms for late August where overnight lows typically range 12–15°C. This outcome aligns with verified measurements from authoritative sources such as INMET-affiliated stations, where slight variations in microclimate or rounding protocols support the 14°C threshold over adjacent values. The market-implied odds exceeding 99% indicate high confidence in these post-event reports, with minimal uncertainty from model revisions or data adjustments expected at this stage. Scenarios that could challenge the resolution remain limited, primarily involving final quality-controlled updates from primary weather agencies that might shift the exact minimum by 1°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 24?
14°C 100%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$6,411 KL.
$6,411 KL.
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
14°C 100%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$6,411 KL.
$6,411 KL.
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$1,341 KL.
No
10°C
$1,407 KL.
No
11°C
$1,690 KL.
No
12°C
$37 KL.
No
13°C
$146 KL.
No
14°C
$61 KL.
Yes
15°C
$301 KL.
No
16°C
$267 KL.
No
17°C
$265 KL.
No
18°C
$295 KL.
No
19°C or higher
$601 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in São Paulo on August 24, 2026, reflecting official station observations placing the daily minimum near 13–14°C amid cooler-than-average winter conditions.** Data from São Paulo monitoring sites show a minimum of approximately 13.2°C with an average of 14.3°C and maximum of 16.3°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal norms for late August where overnight lows typically range 12–15°C. This outcome aligns with verified measurements from authoritative sources such as INMET-affiliated stations, where slight variations in microclimate or rounding protocols support the 14°C threshold over adjacent values. The market-implied odds exceeding 99% indicate high confidence in these post-event reports, with minimal uncertainty from model revisions or data adjustments expected at this stage. Scenarios that could challenge the resolution remain limited, primarily involving final quality-controlled updates from primary weather agencies that might shift the exact minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,411Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 9:28 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in São Paulo on August 24, 2026, reflecting official station observations placing the daily minimum near 13–14°C amid cooler-than-average winter conditions.** Data from São Paulo monitoring sites show a minimum of approximately 13.2°C with an average of 14.3°C and maximum of 16.3°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal norms for late August where overnight lows typically range 12–15°C. This outcome aligns with verified measurements from authoritative sources such as INMET-affiliated stations, where slight variations in microclimate or rounding protocols support the 14°C threshold over adjacent values. The market-implied odds exceeding 99% indicate high confidence in these post-event reports, with minimal uncertainty from model revisions or data adjustments expected at this stage. Scenarios that could challenge the resolution remain limited, primarily involving final quality-controlled updates from primary weather agencies that might shift the exact minimum by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,411Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 9:28 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Trader consensus has converged on 14°C as the lowest temperature recorded in São Paulo on August 24, 2026, reflecting official station observations placing the daily minimum near 13–14°C amid cooler-than-average winter conditions.** Data from São Paulo monitoring sites show a minimum of approximately 13.2°C with an average of 14.3°C and maximum of 16.3°C under mostly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal norms for late August where overnight lows typically range 12–15°C. This outcome aligns with verified measurements from authoritative sources such as INMET-affiliated stations, where slight variations in microclimate or rounding protocols support the 14°C threshold over adjacent values. The market-implied odds exceeding 99% indicate high confidence in these post-event reports, with minimal uncertainty from model revisions or data adjustments expected at this stage. Scenarios that could challenge the resolution remain limited, primarily involving final quality-controlled updates from primary weather agencies that might shift the exact minimum by 1°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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