**Recent forecasts for Warsaw on September 26 point to a maximum near 15–16°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers, driven by a lingering Atlantic front and high humidity that limits daytime heating.** Light southwesterly winds and high pressure building behind the system keep temperatures from rising sharply, while overnight lows near 10–11°C reflect efficient radiative cooling under clearing conditions later. Model consensus across sources shows modest daytime insolation due to persistent cloud cover (often 70–100%), with any brief breaks potentially allowing a brief spike toward 17–18°C or holding the peak lower if precipitation lingers. This genuine uncertainty in exact timing and cloud evolution explains the tightly clustered market-implied odds across the 14–20°C range, as traders weigh the latest model runs and observational trends from central European stations. Updated guidance from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 26?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 26?
18°C 39%
17°C 29%
16°C 23%
19°C 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 26, 2026
11°C or below
4%
12°C
4%
13°C
4%
14°C
9%
15°C
18%
16°C
23%
17°C
29%
18°C
39%
19°C
22%
20°C
16%
21°C or higher
10%
18°C 39%
17°C 29%
16°C 23%
19°C 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 26, 2026
11°C or below
$0 KL.
4%
12°C
$0 KL.
4%
13°C
$0 KL.
4%
14°C
$0 KL.
9%
15°C
$0 KL.
18%
16°C
$0 KL.
23%
17°C
$0 KL.
29%
18°C
$0 KL.
39%
19°C
$0 KL.
22%
20°C
$0 KL.
16%
21°C or higher
$0 KL.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Warsaw on September 26 point to a maximum near 15–16°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers, driven by a lingering Atlantic front and high humidity that limits daytime heating.** Light southwesterly winds and high pressure building behind the system keep temperatures from rising sharply, while overnight lows near 10–11°C reflect efficient radiative cooling under clearing conditions later. Model consensus across sources shows modest daytime insolation due to persistent cloud cover (often 70–100%), with any brief breaks potentially allowing a brief spike toward 17–18°C or holding the peak lower if precipitation lingers. This genuine uncertainty in exact timing and cloud evolution explains the tightly clustered market-implied odds across the 14–20°C range, as traders weigh the latest model runs and observational trends from central European stations. Updated guidance from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Warsaw on September 26 point to a maximum near 15–16°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers, driven by a lingering Atlantic front and high humidity that limits daytime heating.** Light southwesterly winds and high pressure building behind the system keep temperatures from rising sharply, while overnight lows near 10–11°C reflect efficient radiative cooling under clearing conditions later. Model consensus across sources shows modest daytime insolation due to persistent cloud cover (often 70–100%), with any brief breaks potentially allowing a brief spike toward 17–18°C or holding the peak lower if precipitation lingers. This genuine uncertainty in exact timing and cloud evolution explains the tightly clustered market-implied odds across the 14–20°C range, as traders weigh the latest model runs and observational trends from central European stations. Updated guidance from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...**Recent forecasts for Warsaw on September 26 point to a maximum near 15–16°C under mostly cloudy skies with light rain or showers, driven by a lingering Atlantic front and high humidity that limits daytime heating.** Light southwesterly winds and high pressure building behind the system keep temperatures from rising sharply, while overnight lows near 10–11°C reflect efficient radiative cooling under clearing conditions later. Model consensus across sources shows modest daytime insolation due to persistent cloud cover (often 70–100%), with any brief breaks potentially allowing a brief spike toward 17–18°C or holding the peak lower if precipitation lingers. This genuine uncertainty in exact timing and cloud evolution explains the tightly clustered market-implied odds across the 14–20°C range, as traders weigh the latest model runs and observational trends from central European stations. Updated guidance from agencies like the Polish Institute of Meteorology will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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