Recent forecasts from MetService, NIWA seasonal context, and international models converge on mostly clear skies and light southwesterly winds shifting northerly for Wellington on September 24, supporting a daytime maximum near the 12.5–14°C range typical for late spring under high pressure. Trader sentiment splits nearly evenly between 13°C and 14°C because minor variations in wind timing, boundary-layer mixing, or brief high cloud could add or subtract 1°C of warming from solar insolation. Cooler recent days with southerlies have kept soil and air temperatures suppressed, limiting upside potential, while the absence of strong cold advection keeps sub-12°C outcomes unlikely. Resolution hinges on official observations from Kelburn or the airport station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on September 24?
13°C 52%
14°C 45%
12°C 4%
15°C 3%
$11,448 KL.
$11,448 KL.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
52%
14°C
45%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 52%
14°C 45%
12°C 4%
15°C 3%
$11,448 KL.
$11,448 KL.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
<1%
12°C
4%
13°C
52%
14°C
45%
15°C
3%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService, NIWA seasonal context, and international models converge on mostly clear skies and light southwesterly winds shifting northerly for Wellington on September 24, supporting a daytime maximum near the 12.5–14°C range typical for late spring under high pressure. Trader sentiment splits nearly evenly between 13°C and 14°C because minor variations in wind timing, boundary-layer mixing, or brief high cloud could add or subtract 1°C of warming from solar insolation. Cooler recent days with southerlies have kept soil and air temperatures suppressed, limiting upside potential, while the absence of strong cold advection keeps sub-12°C outcomes unlikely. Resolution hinges on official observations from Kelburn or the airport station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp