Official National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 73°F in San Francisco on September 24 under mostly sunny skies and light west-southwest winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 70-75°F. This outlook reflects seasonal norms near the 70.8°F climatological average for the date, tempered by typical marine layer influences and urban heat island effects that can shift peak readings by a few degrees across microclimates. Model consensus shows limited spread, with minor variations in cloud cover or wind timing potentially determining whether the daily maximum lands in the 70-71°F or 74-75°F bin. Traders weigh these factors alongside historical variability, where recent Septembers have ranged from the mid-60s to upper 70s, underscoring the value of real-time updates from NWS point forecasts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 24?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 24?
72-73°F 25%
70-71°F 24%
74-75°F 22%
76-77°F 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 24, 2026
67°F or below
5%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
3%
72-73°F 25%
70-71°F 24%
74-75°F 22%
76-77°F 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 24, 2026
67°F or below
$0 KL.
5%
68-69°F
$0 KL.
10%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
24%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
25%
74-75°F
$81 KL.
22%
76-77°F
$154 KL.
17%
78-79°F
$56 KL.
10%
80-81°F
$10 KL.
7%
82-83°F
$10 KL.
5%
84-85°F
$10 KL.
2%
86°F or higher
$10 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 73°F in San Francisco on September 24 under mostly sunny skies and light west-southwest winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 70-75°F. This outlook reflects seasonal norms near the 70.8°F climatological average for the date, tempered by typical marine layer influences and urban heat island effects that can shift peak readings by a few degrees across microclimates. Model consensus shows limited spread, with minor variations in cloud cover or wind timing potentially determining whether the daily maximum lands in the 70-71°F or 74-75°F bin. Traders weigh these factors alongside historical variability, where recent Septembers have ranged from the mid-60s to upper 70s, underscoring the value of real-time updates from NWS point forecasts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$331Ngày kết thúc
Sep 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 73°F in San Francisco on September 24 under mostly sunny skies and light west-southwest winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 70-75°F. This outlook reflects seasonal norms near the 70.8°F climatological average for the date, tempered by typical marine layer influences and urban heat island effects that can shift peak readings by a few degrees across microclimates. Model consensus shows limited spread, with minor variations in cloud cover or wind timing potentially determining whether the daily maximum lands in the 70-71°F or 74-75°F bin. Traders weigh these factors alongside historical variability, where recent Septembers have ranged from the mid-60s to upper 70s, underscoring the value of real-time updates from NWS point forecasts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$331Ngày kết thúc
Sep 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 22, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts point to a high near 73°F in San Francisco on September 24 under mostly sunny skies and light west-southwest winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 70-75°F. This outlook reflects seasonal norms near the 70.8°F climatological average for the date, tempered by typical marine layer influences and urban heat island effects that can shift peak readings by a few degrees across microclimates. Model consensus shows limited spread, with minor variations in cloud cover or wind timing potentially determining whether the daily maximum lands in the 70-71°F or 74-75°F bin. Traders weigh these factors alongside historical variability, where recent Septembers have ranged from the mid-60s to upper 70s, underscoring the value of real-time updates from NWS point forecasts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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