Recent northerly wind shifts are transporting warmer, moist air into Buenos Aires after a polar outbreak, with official forecasts and ensemble models from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ECMWF converging on a September 24 minimum near 12°C. This places the daily low well above recent early-morning readings near 7–8°C but below the 17°C+ threshold. Radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and wind speeds of 10–20 km/h introduce modest uncertainty in the exact overnight low, supporting the market’s near-even split between the 17°C-or-higher and 7°C-or-below outcomes. Updated model runs and SMN briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the precise minimum ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 24?
7°C or below 85%
17°C or higher 85%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
7°C or below
85%
8°C
21%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11°C
22%
12°C
21%
13°C
22%
14°C
20%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C or higher
85%
7°C or below 85%
17°C or higher 85%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
7°C or below
85%
8°C
21%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11°C
22%
12°C
21%
13°C
22%
14°C
20%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C or higher
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 22, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly wind shifts are transporting warmer, moist air into Buenos Aires after a polar outbreak, with official forecasts and ensemble models from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and ECMWF converging on a September 24 minimum near 12°C. This places the daily low well above recent early-morning readings near 7–8°C but below the 17°C+ threshold. Radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and wind speeds of 10–20 km/h introduce modest uncertainty in the exact overnight low, supporting the market’s near-even split between the 17°C-or-higher and 7°C-or-below outcomes. Updated model runs and SMN briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the precise minimum ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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