Forecast uncertainty between a strong cold front and milder advection is driving the near-even split in trader sentiment for Buenos Aires minimum temperature on September 23, with 3 °C or below at 39% implied probability and 13 °C or higher at 36%. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and global models such as ECMWF and GFS show divergence on the timing and strength of southerly winds, cloud cover, and boundary-layer moisture that control radiative cooling overnight. Historical September lows average near 8–10 °C, but recent polar air outbreaks have produced sub-5 °C readings when clear skies and light winds align. Updated model runs and local observations expected overnight will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 23?
13°C or higher 73%
3°C or below 42%
9°C 34%
5°C 23%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
3°C or below
42%
4°C
22%
5°C
23%
6°C
10%
7°C
22%
8°C
18%
9°C
34%
10°C
11%
11°C
10%
12°C
3%
13°C or higher
73%
13°C or higher 73%
3°C or below 42%
9°C 34%
5°C 23%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
3°C or below
$0 KL.
42%
4°C
$0 KL.
22%
5°C
$0 KL.
23%
6°C
$29 KL.
10%
7°C
$0 KL.
22%
8°C
$0 KL.
18%
9°C
$30 KL.
34%
10°C
$50 KL.
11%
11°C
$40 KL.
10%
12°C
$100 KL.
3%
13°C or higher
$100 KL.
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty between a strong cold front and milder advection is driving the near-even split in trader sentiment for Buenos Aires minimum temperature on September 23, with 3 °C or below at 39% implied probability and 13 °C or higher at 36%. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and global models such as ECMWF and GFS show divergence on the timing and strength of southerly winds, cloud cover, and boundary-layer moisture that control radiative cooling overnight. Historical September lows average near 8–10 °C, but recent polar air outbreaks have produced sub-5 °C readings when clear skies and light winds align. Updated model runs and local observations expected overnight will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$350Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast uncertainty between a strong cold front and milder advection is driving the near-even split in trader sentiment for Buenos Aires minimum temperature on September 23, with 3 °C or below at 39% implied probability and 13 °C or higher at 36%. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and global models such as ECMWF and GFS show divergence on the timing and strength of southerly winds, cloud cover, and boundary-layer moisture that control radiative cooling overnight. Historical September lows average near 8–10 °C, but recent polar air outbreaks have produced sub-5 °C readings when clear skies and light winds align. Updated model runs and local observations expected overnight will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$350Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 8:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty between a strong cold front and milder advection is driving the near-even split in trader sentiment for Buenos Aires minimum temperature on September 23, with 3 °C or below at 39% implied probability and 13 °C or higher at 36%. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and global models such as ECMWF and GFS show divergence on the timing and strength of southerly winds, cloud cover, and boundary-layer moisture that control radiative cooling overnight. Historical September lows average near 8–10 °C, but recent polar air outbreaks have produced sub-5 °C readings when clear skies and light winds align. Updated model runs and local observations expected overnight will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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