Recent forecasts for Manila indicate a high likelihood of southwest monsoon-driven thunderstorms and scattered showers on September 22, with PAGASA and international models projecting daytime maxima near 30–34°C amid high humidity and light to moderate winds. Persistent cloud cover and convective activity are expected to limit surface heating during peak afternoon hours, favoring outcomes around 30–32°C, while any breaks in rainfall could allow brief periods of stronger insolation to push readings toward 33°C. Historical September averages near 32°C provide context, yet current model consensus highlights variability in storm timing as the key uncertainty influencing trader positioning across the tightly clustered probabilities. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on September 22?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 22?
32°C 43%
31°C 36%
33°C 28%
29°C 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 22, 2026
28°C or below
14%
29°C
22%
30°C
19%
31°C
36%
32°C
43%
33°C
28%
34°C
17%
35°C
14%
36°C
4%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
32°C 43%
31°C 36%
33°C 28%
29°C 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 22, 2026
28°C or below
$0 KL.
14%
29°C
$0 KL.
22%
30°C
$5 KL.
19%
31°C
$0 KL.
36%
32°C
$223 KL.
43%
33°C
$115 KL.
28%
34°C
$0 KL.
17%
35°C
$0 KL.
14%
36°C
$0 KL.
4%
37°C
$0 KL.
2%
38°C or higher
$11 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila indicate a high likelihood of southwest monsoon-driven thunderstorms and scattered showers on September 22, with PAGASA and international models projecting daytime maxima near 30–34°C amid high humidity and light to moderate winds. Persistent cloud cover and convective activity are expected to limit surface heating during peak afternoon hours, favoring outcomes around 30–32°C, while any breaks in rainfall could allow brief periods of stronger insolation to push readings toward 33°C. Historical September averages near 32°C provide context, yet current model consensus highlights variability in storm timing as the key uncertainty influencing trader positioning across the tightly clustered probabilities. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Khối lượng
$184Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Manila indicate a high likelihood of southwest monsoon-driven thunderstorms and scattered showers on September 22, with PAGASA and international models projecting daytime maxima near 30–34°C amid high humidity and light to moderate winds. Persistent cloud cover and convective activity are expected to limit surface heating during peak afternoon hours, favoring outcomes around 30–32°C, while any breaks in rainfall could allow brief periods of stronger insolation to push readings toward 33°C. Historical September averages near 32°C provide context, yet current model consensus highlights variability in storm timing as the key uncertainty influencing trader positioning across the tightly clustered probabilities. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$184Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Manila indicate a high likelihood of southwest monsoon-driven thunderstorms and scattered showers on September 22, with PAGASA and international models projecting daytime maxima near 30–34°C amid high humidity and light to moderate winds. Persistent cloud cover and convective activity are expected to limit surface heating during peak afternoon hours, favoring outcomes around 30–32°C, while any breaks in rainfall could allow brief periods of stronger insolation to push readings toward 33°C. Historical September averages near 32°C provide context, yet current model consensus highlights variability in storm timing as the key uncertainty influencing trader positioning across the tightly clustered probabilities. Updated PAGASA briefings and refined numerical weather prediction runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine these ranges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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