Forecast models from PAGASA and international sources indicate a typical southwest monsoon pattern for Manila on September 22, with widespread cloud cover, isolated thunderstorms, and 80% rain probability limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting a minimum temperature near 24–26°C. Historical September lows average 24–25°C, while urban heat retention and high humidity further moderate overnight drops. The closely matched market-implied odds around 48.5% for 21°C or below versus 31°C or higher reflect genuine uncertainty in exact minimum readings, as small shifts in cloud timing, wind, or localized rain can alter the overnight low by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official PAGASA briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Manila on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 22?
31°C or higher 95%
21°C or below 91%
27°C 55%
26°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 22, 2026
21°C or below
91%
22°C
13%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
40%
27°C
36%
28°C
39%
29°C
17%
30°C
14%
31°C or higher
95%
31°C or higher 95%
21°C or below 91%
27°C 55%
26°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 22, 2026
21°C or below
$0 KL.
91%
22°C
$0 KL.
13%
23°C
$0 KL.
39%
24°C
$0 KL.
39%
25°C
$0 KL.
39%
26°C
$0 KL.
40%
27°C
$114 KL.
36%
28°C
$0 KL.
39%
29°C
$0 KL.
17%
30°C
$0 KL.
14%
31°C or higher
$0 KL.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from PAGASA and international sources indicate a typical southwest monsoon pattern for Manila on September 22, with widespread cloud cover, isolated thunderstorms, and 80% rain probability limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting a minimum temperature near 24–26°C. Historical September lows average 24–25°C, while urban heat retention and high humidity further moderate overnight drops. The closely matched market-implied odds around 48.5% for 21°C or below versus 31°C or higher reflect genuine uncertainty in exact minimum readings, as small shifts in cloud timing, wind, or localized rain can alter the overnight low by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official PAGASA briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Khối lượng
$114Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from PAGASA and international sources indicate a typical southwest monsoon pattern for Manila on September 22, with widespread cloud cover, isolated thunderstorms, and 80% rain probability limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting a minimum temperature near 24–26°C. Historical September lows average 24–25°C, while urban heat retention and high humidity further moderate overnight drops. The closely matched market-implied odds around 48.5% for 21°C or below versus 31°C or higher reflect genuine uncertainty in exact minimum readings, as small shifts in cloud timing, wind, or localized rain can alter the overnight low by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official PAGASA briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$114Ngày kết thúc
Sep 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 20, 2026, 12:32 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from PAGASA and international sources indicate a typical southwest monsoon pattern for Manila on September 22, with widespread cloud cover, isolated thunderstorms, and 80% rain probability limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting a minimum temperature near 24–26°C. Historical September lows average 24–25°C, while urban heat retention and high humidity further moderate overnight drops. The closely matched market-implied odds around 48.5% for 21°C or below versus 31°C or higher reflect genuine uncertainty in exact minimum readings, as small shifts in cloud timing, wind, or localized rain can alter the overnight low by 2–3°C. Updated model runs and official PAGASA briefings remain key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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