Current forecasts from multiple models and local observations indicate a highest temperature in San Francisco on September 20, 2026, most likely in the mid-60s°F, driven by persistent marine layer clouds and westerly onshore flow that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market's concentration of probability on 64-67°F (70.5% implied), as the cool Pacific influence and high humidity suppress temperatures well below the 70.7°F historical average high for the date. Recent September 2026 data show similar moderated conditions with highs often in the 60s amid overcast skies, reducing the chance of warmer outliers above 70°F. Official NWS observations through the afternoon will resolve the market as solar insolation remains low.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 20?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 20?
66-67°F 42%
64-65°F 28%
62-63°F 16%
68-69°F 13%
MỚI
$16,464 KL.
MỚI
$16,464 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
16%
64-65°F
28%
66-67°F
42%
68-69°F
13%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 42%
64-65°F 28%
62-63°F 16%
68-69°F 13%
MỚI
$16,464 KL.
MỚI
$16,464 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
59°F or below
$731 KL.
1%
60-61°F
$548 KL.
3%
62-63°F
$2,537 KL.
16%
64-65°F
$3,429 KL.
28%
66-67°F
$1,576 KL.
42%
68-69°F
$1,689 KL.
13%
70-71°F
$1,526 KL.
10%
72-73°F
$1,960 KL.
3%
74-75°F
$2,241 KL.
1%
76-77°F
$105 KL.
<1%
78°F or higher
$121 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models and local observations indicate a highest temperature in San Francisco on September 20, 2026, most likely in the mid-60s°F, driven by persistent marine layer clouds and westerly onshore flow that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market's concentration of probability on 64-67°F (70.5% implied), as the cool Pacific influence and high humidity suppress temperatures well below the 70.7°F historical average high for the date. Recent September 2026 data show similar moderated conditions with highs often in the 60s amid overcast skies, reducing the chance of warmer outliers above 70°F. Official NWS observations through the afternoon will resolve the market as solar insolation remains low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$16,464Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models and local observations indicate a highest temperature in San Francisco on September 20, 2026, most likely in the mid-60s°F, driven by persistent marine layer clouds and westerly onshore flow that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market's concentration of probability on 64-67°F (70.5% implied), as the cool Pacific influence and high humidity suppress temperatures well below the 70.7°F historical average high for the date. Recent September 2026 data show similar moderated conditions with highs often in the 60s amid overcast skies, reducing the chance of warmer outliers above 70°F. Official NWS observations through the afternoon will resolve the market as solar insolation remains low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$16,464Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models and local observations indicate a highest temperature in San Francisco on September 20, 2026, most likely in the mid-60s°F, driven by persistent marine layer clouds and westerly onshore flow that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market's concentration of probability on 64-67°F (70.5% implied), as the cool Pacific influence and high humidity suppress temperatures well below the 70.7°F historical average high for the date. Recent September 2026 data show similar moderated conditions with highs often in the 60s amid overcast skies, reducing the chance of warmer outliers above 70°F. Official NWS observations through the afternoon will resolve the market as solar insolation remains low.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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