Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daily maximum near 27°C at Incheon International Airport on September 20 under mostly clear skies, light northerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that supports strong afternoon insolation without significant capping inversions. This places the market-implied 42% probability on 27°C slightly ahead of 26°C at 33.5%, reflecting tight ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and daytime mixing. Late-September climatology shows typical highs of 24–26°C, so current stable high-pressure conditions and dry advection from the northwest are sustaining modestly elevated readings. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the 1°C resolution window between these leading outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 20?
27°C 41%
26°C 34%
28°C 16%
25°C 11%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
11%
26°C
34%
27°C
41%
28°C
16%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
27°C 41%
26°C 34%
28°C 16%
25°C 11%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
11%
26°C
34%
27°C
41%
28°C
16%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daily maximum near 27°C at Incheon International Airport on September 20 under mostly clear skies, light northerly flow, and minimal cloud cover that supports strong afternoon insolation without significant capping inversions. This places the market-implied 42% probability on 27°C slightly ahead of 26°C at 33.5%, reflecting tight ensemble spread in boundary-layer moisture and daytime mixing. Late-September climatology shows typical highs of 24–26°C, so current stable high-pressure conditions and dry advection from the northwest are sustaining modestly elevated readings. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the 1°C resolution window between these leading outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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