**Persistent northeast monsoon flow combined with a high-pressure ridge is driving mostly clear, dry conditions over Hong Kong on September 18, supporting strong daytime solar heating and market-implied odds clustered around 31–32 °C.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and several numerical models indicate easterly winds of 4–5 Beaufort, low humidity (55–85 %), and minimal cloud cover that favors maximum temperatures reaching the low 30s °C. Slight divergence among models—some capping peaks near 28–29 °C while others allow 31–32 °C—creates the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes. Historical September climatology (mean daily maximum near 30 °C) and the absence of significant moisture or frontal activity reinforce the current trader consensus, with resolution hinging on the official observatory reading.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
31°C 40%
32°C 39%
30°C 13%
33°C 11%
MỚI
$17,348 KL.
MỚI
$17,348 KL.
Sep 18, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
13%
31°C
40%
32°C
39%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 40%
32°C 39%
30°C 13%
33°C 11%
MỚI
$17,348 KL.
MỚI
$17,348 KL.
Sep 18, 2026
25°C or below
$1,885 KL.
<1%
26°C
$1,550 KL.
<1%
27°C
$1,450 KL.
<1%
28°C
$579 KL.
<1%
29°C
$1,164 KL.
3%
30°C
$1,433 KL.
13%
31°C
$2,214 KL.
40%
32°C
$3,228 KL.
39%
33°C
$1,304 KL.
11%
34°C
$1,173 KL.
2%
35°C or higher
$1,369 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent northeast monsoon flow combined with a high-pressure ridge is driving mostly clear, dry conditions over Hong Kong on September 18, supporting strong daytime solar heating and market-implied odds clustered around 31–32 °C.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and several numerical models indicate easterly winds of 4–5 Beaufort, low humidity (55–85 %), and minimal cloud cover that favors maximum temperatures reaching the low 30s °C. Slight divergence among models—some capping peaks near 28–29 °C while others allow 31–32 °C—creates the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes. Historical September climatology (mean daily maximum near 30 °C) and the absence of significant moisture or frontal activity reinforce the current trader consensus, with resolution hinging on the official observatory reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$17,348Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent northeast monsoon flow combined with a high-pressure ridge is driving mostly clear, dry conditions over Hong Kong on September 18, supporting strong daytime solar heating and market-implied odds clustered around 31–32 °C.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and several numerical models indicate easterly winds of 4–5 Beaufort, low humidity (55–85 %), and minimal cloud cover that favors maximum temperatures reaching the low 30s °C. Slight divergence among models—some capping peaks near 28–29 °C while others allow 31–32 °C—creates the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes. Historical September climatology (mean daily maximum near 30 °C) and the absence of significant moisture or frontal activity reinforce the current trader consensus, with resolution hinging on the official observatory reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$17,348Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent northeast monsoon flow combined with a high-pressure ridge is driving mostly clear, dry conditions over Hong Kong on September 18, supporting strong daytime solar heating and market-implied odds clustered around 31–32 °C.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance and several numerical models indicate easterly winds of 4–5 Beaufort, low humidity (55–85 %), and minimal cloud cover that favors maximum temperatures reaching the low 30s °C. Slight divergence among models—some capping peaks near 28–29 °C while others allow 31–32 °C—creates the narrow spread between the two leading outcomes. Historical September climatology (mean daily maximum near 30 °C) and the absence of significant moisture or frontal activity reinforce the current trader consensus, with resolution hinging on the official observatory reading.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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