**Traders assign near-certainty to a 31°C high because official Hong Kong Observatory readings through late afternoon on September 17 show a daily maximum of 31.4°C at the primary station, with most urban districts peaking between 31–33°C under the influence of a northeast monsoon and anticyclone.** Forecasts issued earlier in the day called for a maximum near 32°C with low humidity (55–85%) and minimal rain chance, yet observed values aligned with 31°C as the effective integer outcome. Model consensus from agencies like the HKO supports this range given persistent easterly flow and dry conditions suppressing further warming. The only realistic challenges would be a late-day spike pushing the official maximum to 32°C or a revision in the final HKO summary, though current data and timing make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 17?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$83,594 KL.
$83,594 KL.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$83,594 KL.
$83,594 KL.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Traders assign near-certainty to a 31°C high because official Hong Kong Observatory readings through late afternoon on September 17 show a daily maximum of 31.4°C at the primary station, with most urban districts peaking between 31–33°C under the influence of a northeast monsoon and anticyclone.** Forecasts issued earlier in the day called for a maximum near 32°C with low humidity (55–85%) and minimal rain chance, yet observed values aligned with 31°C as the effective integer outcome. Model consensus from agencies like the HKO supports this range given persistent easterly flow and dry conditions suppressing further warming. The only realistic challenges would be a late-day spike pushing the official maximum to 32°C or a revision in the final HKO summary, though current data and timing make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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