**Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate the primary driver of trader sentiment is the arrival of a cooler, drier air mass behind Friday's cold front, shifting winds to northerly then northeasterly on Saturday and limiting overnight radiative cooling.** This setup points to a minimum temperature on September 19 in the low 60s°F for Central Park, with official guidance centering on 61–63°F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and light winds. Model consensus shows limited spread, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the low a degree or two. The market's tight clustering around 60–65°F reflects this narrow uncertainty band relative to the long-term average low of 60.5°F, with traders weighting the post-frontal moderation heavily while noting potential for minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on September 19?
Lowest temperature in NYC on September 19?
62-63°F 27%
64-65°F 24%
60-61°F 23%
58-59°F 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
55°F or below
7%
56-57°F
11%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
23%
62-63°F
27%
64-65°F
24%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
5%
74°F or higher
5%
62-63°F 27%
64-65°F 24%
60-61°F 23%
58-59°F 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
55°F or below
$0 KL.
7%
56-57°F
$0 KL.
11%
58-59°F
$63 KL.
19%
60-61°F
$2 KL.
23%
62-63°F
$0 KL.
27%
64-65°F
$0 KL.
24%
66-67°F
$0 KL.
19%
68-69°F
$0 KL.
11%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
7%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
5%
74°F or higher
$0 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate the primary driver of trader sentiment is the arrival of a cooler, drier air mass behind Friday's cold front, shifting winds to northerly then northeasterly on Saturday and limiting overnight radiative cooling.**
This setup points to a minimum temperature on September 19 in the low 60s°F for Central Park, with official guidance centering on 61–63°F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and light winds. Model consensus shows limited spread, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the low a degree or two. The market's tight clustering around 60–65°F reflects this narrow uncertainty band relative to the long-term average low of 60.5°F, with traders weighting the post-frontal moderation heavily while noting potential for minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$65Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate the primary driver of trader sentiment is the arrival of a cooler, drier air mass behind Friday's cold front, shifting winds to northerly then northeasterly on Saturday and limiting overnight radiative cooling.**
This setup points to a minimum temperature on September 19 in the low 60s°F for Central Park, with official guidance centering on 61–63°F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and light winds. Model consensus shows limited spread, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the low a degree or two. The market's tight clustering around 60–65°F reflects this narrow uncertainty band relative to the long-term average low of 60.5°F, with traders weighting the post-frontal moderation heavily while noting potential for minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$65Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Recent National Weather Service forecasts indicate the primary driver of trader sentiment is the arrival of a cooler, drier air mass behind Friday's cold front, shifting winds to northerly then northeasterly on Saturday and limiting overnight radiative cooling.** This setup points to a minimum temperature on September 19 in the low 60s°F for Central Park, with official guidance centering on 61–63°F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and light winds. Model consensus shows limited spread, though slight variations in cloud cover or wind speed could nudge the low a degree or two. The market's tight clustering around 60–65°F reflects this narrow uncertainty band relative to the long-term average low of 60.5°F, with traders weighting the post-frontal moderation heavily while noting potential for minor forecast adjustments before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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