Latest forecasts from multiple meteorological services project a daytime high of 32°C in Shenzhen on September 17 under sunny-to-partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 32°C outcome while the broad probability distribution across 31–36°C reflects typical short-range model spread for the Pearl River Delta's humid subtropical regime, where variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze effects can alter peak temperatures by several degrees. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, yet current stable high-pressure influence supports the central tendency. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours remain the primary near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 17?
32°C 34%
33°C 28%
31°C 22%
35°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
15%
30°C
10%
31°C
22%
32°C
29%
33°C
28%
34°C
7%
35°C
16%
36°C
15%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 34%
33°C 28%
31°C 22%
35°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
27°C or below
$96 KL.
1%
28°C
$63 KL.
1%
29°C
$0 KL.
15%
30°C
$0 KL.
10%
31°C
$858 KL.
22%
32°C
$64 KL.
29%
33°C
$0 KL.
28%
34°C
$0 KL.
7%
35°C
$0 KL.
16%
36°C
$0 KL.
15%
37°C or higher
$111 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from multiple meteorological services project a daytime high of 32°C in Shenzhen on September 17 under sunny-to-partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 32°C outcome while the broad probability distribution across 31–36°C reflects typical short-range model spread for the Pearl River Delta's humid subtropical regime, where variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze effects can alter peak temperatures by several degrees. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, yet current stable high-pressure influence supports the central tendency. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours remain the primary near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,192Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from multiple meteorological services project a daytime high of 32°C in Shenzhen on September 17 under sunny-to-partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 32°C outcome while the broad probability distribution across 31–36°C reflects typical short-range model spread for the Pearl River Delta's humid subtropical regime, where variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze effects can alter peak temperatures by several degrees. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, yet current stable high-pressure influence supports the central tendency. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours remain the primary near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,192Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from multiple meteorological services project a daytime high of 32°C in Shenzhen on September 17 under sunny-to-partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. This consensus aligns with the market's leading 32°C outcome while the broad probability distribution across 31–36°C reflects typical short-range model spread for the Pearl River Delta's humid subtropical regime, where variations in cloud cover, boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze effects can alter peak temperatures by several degrees. Historical September averages near 31°C provide context, yet current stable high-pressure influence supports the central tendency. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24 hours remain the primary near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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