Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including MetService-aligned outlooks and Weather Atlas data, converge on a maximum temperature of 16°C for Wellington on September 15 under northerly winds and partly cloudy skies, with lows near 11°C and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 16°C at 61% implied probability, as the setup reflects a mild spring pattern slightly above the September climatological average high of 12.5–15°C. Stable high pressure and northerly advection limit cooling, while model agreement reduces uncertainty around the daily peak. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine any minor adjustments from wind shifts or cloud cover before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on September 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 15?
16°C 66%
15°C 20%
17°C 14%
14°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
20%
16°C
66%
17°C
14%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 66%
15°C 20%
17°C 14%
14°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
$182 KL.
<1%
12°C
$203 KL.
<1%
13°C
$554 KL.
<1%
14°C
$1,151 KL.
3%
15°C
$2,156 KL.
20%
16°C
$1,338 KL.
66%
17°C
$1,488 KL.
14%
18°C
$716 KL.
1%
19°C
$158 KL.
<1%
20°C
$158 KL.
<1%
21°C or higher
$258 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including MetService-aligned outlooks and Weather Atlas data, converge on a maximum temperature of 16°C for Wellington on September 15 under northerly winds and partly cloudy skies, with lows near 11°C and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 16°C at 61% implied probability, as the setup reflects a mild spring pattern slightly above the September climatological average high of 12.5–15°C. Stable high pressure and northerly advection limit cooling, while model agreement reduces uncertainty around the daily peak. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine any minor adjustments from wind shifts or cloud cover before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$8,363Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including MetService-aligned outlooks and Weather Atlas data, converge on a maximum temperature of 16°C for Wellington on September 15 under northerly winds and partly cloudy skies, with lows near 11°C and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 16°C at 61% implied probability, as the setup reflects a mild spring pattern slightly above the September climatological average high of 12.5–15°C. Stable high pressure and northerly advection limit cooling, while model agreement reduces uncertainty around the daily peak. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine any minor adjustments from wind shifts or cloud cover before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$8,363Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models and agencies, including MetService-aligned outlooks and Weather Atlas data, converge on a maximum temperature of 16°C for Wellington on September 15 under northerly winds and partly cloudy skies, with lows near 11°C and minimal precipitation risk. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 16°C at 61% implied probability, as the setup reflects a mild spring pattern slightly above the September climatological average high of 12.5–15°C. Stable high pressure and northerly advection limit cooling, while model agreement reduces uncertainty around the daily peak. Updated runs tomorrow morning will refine any minor adjustments from wind shifts or cloud cover before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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