Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 14 indicate a subtropical high near 32–34°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with a 70–80% chance of showers or thunderstorms, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those values. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and regional guidance shows limited diurnal heating due to expected cloud cover and precipitation, which caps peak temperatures below historical September extremes of 36°C while preventing sharp cooling below the 32°C average. Key differentiators include the exact timing of rainfall relative to peak solar heating, wind patterns from the northeast that may enhance or suppress mixing, and urban heat effects that can add 1–2°C locally; minor shifts in these variables could easily separate the leading 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14?
33°C 27%
34°C 19%
31°C 19%
32°C 18%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
9%
31°C
19%
32°C
18%
33°C
27%
34°C
19%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
4%
33°C 27%
34°C 19%
31°C 19%
32°C 18%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
$0 KL.
1%
27°C
$0 KL.
1%
28°C
$5 KL.
2%
29°C
$0 KL.
5%
30°C
$20 KL.
9%
31°C
$7 KL.
19%
32°C
$0 KL.
18%
33°C
$11 KL.
27%
34°C
$0 KL.
19%
35°C
$171 KL.
6%
36°C or higher
$0 KL.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 14 indicate a subtropical high near 32–34°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with a 70–80% chance of showers or thunderstorms, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those values. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and regional guidance shows limited diurnal heating due to expected cloud cover and precipitation, which caps peak temperatures below historical September extremes of 36°C while preventing sharp cooling below the 32°C average. Key differentiators include the exact timing of rainfall relative to peak solar heating, wind patterns from the northeast that may enhance or suppress mixing, and urban heat effects that can add 1–2°C locally; minor shifts in these variables could easily separate the leading 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$214Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 14 indicate a subtropical high near 32–34°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with a 70–80% chance of showers or thunderstorms, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those values. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and regional guidance shows limited diurnal heating due to expected cloud cover and precipitation, which caps peak temperatures below historical September extremes of 36°C while preventing sharp cooling below the 32°C average. Key differentiators include the exact timing of rainfall relative to peak solar heating, wind patterns from the northeast that may enhance or suppress mixing, and urban heat effects that can add 1–2°C locally; minor shifts in these variables could easily separate the leading 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$214Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou on September 14 indicate a subtropical high near 32–34°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with a 70–80% chance of showers or thunderstorms, consistent with the market's tight clustering around those values. Model consensus from sources like ECMWF and regional guidance shows limited diurnal heating due to expected cloud cover and precipitation, which caps peak temperatures below historical September extremes of 36°C while preventing sharp cooling below the 32°C average. Key differentiators include the exact timing of rainfall relative to peak solar heating, wind patterns from the northeast that may enhance or suppress mixing, and urban heat effects that can add 1–2°C locally; minor shifts in these variables could easily separate the leading 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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