Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a maximum temperature of 30–32°C in Wuhan on September 12 under mostly sunny skies with light easterly or northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation. This setup favors efficient daytime heating in the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal systems, placing 31°C as the modal outcome in line with current model guidance. September climatology for the region typically features highs near 28–30°C, so the projected warmth reflects a modest positive anomaly without extreme heat drivers. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor the 30–31°C range, with minimal allocation to outliers, as fresh observational data tomorrow will resolve the market against official station readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 12?
31°C 53%
30°C 29%
32°C 14%
29°C 3%
$20,098 KL.
$20,098 KL.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
29%
31°C
53%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 53%
30°C 29%
32°C 14%
29°C 3%
$20,098 KL.
$20,098 KL.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
29%
31°C
53%
32°C
14%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a maximum temperature of 30–32°C in Wuhan on September 12 under mostly sunny skies with light easterly or northeasterly winds and negligible precipitation. This setup favors efficient daytime heating in the absence of significant cloud cover or frontal systems, placing 31°C as the modal outcome in line with current model guidance. September climatology for the region typically features highs near 28–30°C, so the projected warmth reflects a modest positive anomaly without extreme heat drivers. Trader-implied probabilities heavily favor the 30–31°C range, with minimal allocation to outliers, as fresh observational data tomorrow will resolve the market against official station readings.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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