Forecast models and real-time observations from agencies monitoring central China indicate a daily maximum near 28°C for Wuhan on September 11 under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity around 40-50%. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the region, where highs typically range 27-30°C absent strong synoptic forcing. Current morning readings near 24-27°C and projected afternoon peaks support the 70.5% market-implied probability for 28°C, with limited upside risk from 29°C given stable atmospheric conditions and no incoming warm advection. Traders appear to weigh the tight forecast spread and historical verification patterns for similar setups when assigning probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 11?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 11?
28°C 99.3%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$23,838 KL.
$23,838 KL.
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
99%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.3%
29°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$23,838 KL.
$23,838 KL.
Sep 11, 2026
24°C or below
$813 KL.
<1%
25°C
$1,214 KL.
<1%
26°C
$1,240 KL.
<1%
27°C
$3,336 KL.
<1%
28°C
$4,432 KL.
99%
29°C
$4,780 KL.
<1%
30°C
$4,025 KL.
<1%
31°C
$2,956 KL.
<1%
32°C
$681 KL.
<1%
33°C
$286 KL.
<1%
34°C or higher
$74 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and real-time observations from agencies monitoring central China indicate a daily maximum near 28°C for Wuhan on September 11 under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity around 40-50%. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the region, where highs typically range 27-30°C absent strong synoptic forcing. Current morning readings near 24-27°C and projected afternoon peaks support the 70.5% market-implied probability for 28°C, with limited upside risk from 29°C given stable atmospheric conditions and no incoming warm advection. Traders appear to weigh the tight forecast spread and historical verification patterns for similar setups when assigning probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,838Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and real-time observations from agencies monitoring central China indicate a daily maximum near 28°C for Wuhan on September 11 under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity around 40-50%. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the region, where highs typically range 27-30°C absent strong synoptic forcing. Current morning readings near 24-27°C and projected afternoon peaks support the 70.5% market-implied probability for 28°C, with limited upside risk from 29°C given stable atmospheric conditions and no incoming warm advection. Traders appear to weigh the tight forecast spread and historical verification patterns for similar setups when assigning probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$23,838Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and real-time observations from agencies monitoring central China indicate a daily maximum near 28°C for Wuhan on September 11 under partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds, and moderate humidity around 40-50%. This aligns with mid-September climatology for the region, where highs typically range 27-30°C absent strong synoptic forcing. Current morning readings near 24-27°C and projected afternoon peaks support the 70.5% market-implied probability for 28°C, with limited upside risk from 29°C given stable atmospheric conditions and no incoming warm advection. Traders appear to weigh the tight forecast spread and historical verification patterns for similar setups when assigning probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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