The market's 100% implied probability on a 32°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026, aligns with official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that exact peak temperature. Persistent late-summer conditions, including elevated sea surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea and light variable winds under a weakening monsoon influence, supported daytime heating consistent with seasonal norms near 31–32°C. Clear to partly cloudy skies and relative humidity dropping below 60% during peak hours enabled the observed maximum, matching model consensus from regional forecasts. This outcome sits within the typical September range but slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average. A shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover could have capped readings below 32°C, though no such revision materialized in final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$113,894 KL.
$113,894 KL.
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$113,894 KL.
$113,894 KL.
Sep 11, 2026
26°C or below
$265 KL.
No
27°C
$228 KL.
No
28°C
$19,467 KL.
No
29°C
$11,272 KL.
No
30°C
$12,941 KL.
No
31°C
$20,970 KL.
No
32°C
$16,415 KL.
Yes
33°C
$28,171 KL.
No
34°C
$3,661 KL.
No
35°C
$274 KL.
No
36°C or higher
$230 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's 100% implied probability on a 32°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026, aligns with official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that exact peak temperature. Persistent late-summer conditions, including elevated sea surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea and light variable winds under a weakening monsoon influence, supported daytime heating consistent with seasonal norms near 31–32°C. Clear to partly cloudy skies and relative humidity dropping below 60% during peak hours enabled the observed maximum, matching model consensus from regional forecasts. This outcome sits within the typical September range but slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average. A shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover could have capped readings below 32°C, though no such revision materialized in final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$113,894Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's 100% implied probability on a 32°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026, aligns with official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that exact peak temperature. Persistent late-summer conditions, including elevated sea surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea and light variable winds under a weakening monsoon influence, supported daytime heating consistent with seasonal norms near 31–32°C. Clear to partly cloudy skies and relative humidity dropping below 60% during peak hours enabled the observed maximum, matching model consensus from regional forecasts. This outcome sits within the typical September range but slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average. A shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover could have capped readings below 32°C, though no such revision materialized in final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$113,894Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The market's 100% implied probability on a 32°C daily maximum for Hong Kong on September 11, 2026, aligns with official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that exact peak temperature. Persistent late-summer conditions, including elevated sea surface temperatures in the northern South China Sea and light variable winds under a weakening monsoon influence, supported daytime heating consistent with seasonal norms near 31–32°C. Clear to partly cloudy skies and relative humidity dropping below 60% during peak hours enabled the observed maximum, matching model consensus from regional forecasts. This outcome sits within the typical September range but slightly above the 1991–2020 climatological average. A shift in steering patterns or increased cloud cover could have capped readings below 32°C, though no such revision materialized in final observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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