Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum near 27°C at Incheon on September 16, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability. Mid-September climatology for the Seoul metro area features average highs of 25–28°C under transitional monsoon patterns, with modest day-to-day variability driven by the position of the subtropical ridge and any passing frontal systems. Current model consensus shows limited spread around this range, though small shifts in steering flow or cloud cover could push readings one degree higher or lower. Updated short-range runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the final resolution inputs for this temperature market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 16?
27°C 57%
26°C 25%
28°C 12%
30°C 7%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
25%
27°C
57%
28°C
12%
29°C
7%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 57%
26°C 25%
28°C 12%
30°C 7%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
25%
27°C
57%
28°C
12%
29°C
7%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum near 27°C at Incheon on September 16, aligning with the market's strongest implied probability. Mid-September climatology for the Seoul metro area features average highs of 25–28°C under transitional monsoon patterns, with modest day-to-day variability driven by the position of the subtropical ridge and any passing frontal systems. Current model consensus shows limited spread around this range, though small shifts in steering flow or cloud cover could push readings one degree higher or lower. Updated short-range runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will provide the final resolution inputs for this temperature market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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