Latest ensemble forecasts from global models point to a daily maximum in Taipei of 31–33°C on September 14, driven by moderate easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and scattered showers that limit afternoon insolation. Recent runs show tight clustering around 32°C as the mode, with slight upward bias on clearer periods and downward adjustment if convective clouds develop earlier. Historical September climatology for the city averages near 31–32°C, providing context for the narrow spread in market-implied odds. Resolution hinges on the official Central Weather Bureau observation at the primary station; fresh model updates overnight could shift the balance between the 31°C and 33°C outcomes if steering patterns or precipitation timing change.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Taipei on September 14?
32°C 36%
33°C 27%
31°C 20%
34°C 13%
27°C or below
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
9%
31°C
20%
32°C
36%
33°C
27%
34°C
13%
35°C
4%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 36%
33°C 27%
31°C 20%
34°C 13%
27°C or below
3%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
9%
31°C
20%
32°C
36%
33°C
27%
34°C
13%
35°C
4%
36°C
6%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models point to a daily maximum in Taipei of 31–33°C on September 14, driven by moderate easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and scattered showers that limit afternoon insolation. Recent runs show tight clustering around 32°C as the mode, with slight upward bias on clearer periods and downward adjustment if convective clouds develop earlier. Historical September climatology for the city averages near 31–32°C, providing context for the narrow spread in market-implied odds. Resolution hinges on the official Central Weather Bureau observation at the primary station; fresh model updates overnight could shift the balance between the 31°C and 33°C outcomes if steering patterns or precipitation timing change.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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