**Mild southwesterly flow under mostly cloudy skies is keeping Amsterdam's September 12 maximum near 22°C.** Multiple forecast models, including GFS runs, show afternoon temperatures peaking at 21–22°C (roughly 70°F) amid light rain or drizzle potential and moderate humidity, which limits solar heating. This sits slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.5°C for the date, reflecting seasonal Atlantic influence rather than anomalous warmth. Official monitoring and hourly observations through midday support this narrow range, with little indication of the stronger heating or clearer conditions needed for 23°C or higher. Trader positioning reflects this model consensus, with the market-implied probability heavily weighted toward 22°C as the most likely official high.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 12?
22°C 87%
23°C 11%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$27,604 KL.
$27,604 KL.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
87%
23°C
11%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
22°C 87%
23°C 11%
24°C <1%
25°C or higher <1%
$27,604 KL.
$27,604 KL.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
87%
23°C
11%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Mild southwesterly flow under mostly cloudy skies is keeping Amsterdam's September 12 maximum near 22°C.** Multiple forecast models, including GFS runs, show afternoon temperatures peaking at 21–22°C (roughly 70°F) amid light rain or drizzle potential and moderate humidity, which limits solar heating. This sits slightly above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.5°C for the date, reflecting seasonal Atlantic influence rather than anomalous warmth. Official monitoring and hourly observations through midday support this narrow range, with little indication of the stronger heating or clearer conditions needed for 23°C or higher. Trader positioning reflects this model consensus, with the market-implied probability heavily weighted toward 22°C as the most likely official high.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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