Latest National Weather Service and GFS ensemble guidance positions Miami’s September 14 high near 88–90 °F, driving the 56.5 % market-implied probability on 90–91 °F. Persistent high humidity, light easterly flow, and abundant moisture support afternoon heating before scattered thunderstorms develop, a pattern consistent with mid-September climatology where average highs reach 89 °F. Model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns or frontal intrusions over the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for 92 °F+ or sub-88 °F outcomes below 15 % each. Updated 12z and 00z runs plus NHC tropical outlook briefings remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Miami on September 14?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 14?
90-91°F 56%
92-93°F 29%
88-89°F 23%
94-95°F 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
79°F or below
3%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
23%
90-91°F
56%
92-93°F
29%
94-95°F
13%
96-97°F
3%
98°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 56%
92-93°F 29%
88-89°F 23%
94-95°F 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
79°F or below
$0 KL.
3%
80-81°F
$0 KL.
3%
82-83°F
$0 KL.
5%
84-85°F
$0 KL.
7%
86-87°F
$4 KL.
12%
88-89°F
$0 KL.
23%
90-91°F
$113 KL.
56%
92-93°F
$3 KL.
29%
94-95°F
$0 KL.
13%
96-97°F
$0 KL.
3%
98°F or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and GFS ensemble guidance positions Miami’s September 14 high near 88–90 °F, driving the 56.5 % market-implied probability on 90–91 °F. Persistent high humidity, light easterly flow, and abundant moisture support afternoon heating before scattered thunderstorms develop, a pattern consistent with mid-September climatology where average highs reach 89 °F. Model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns or frontal intrusions over the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for 92 °F+ or sub-88 °F outcomes below 15 % each. Updated 12z and 00z runs plus NHC tropical outlook briefings remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$120Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and GFS ensemble guidance positions Miami’s September 14 high near 88–90 °F, driving the 56.5 % market-implied probability on 90–91 °F. Persistent high humidity, light easterly flow, and abundant moisture support afternoon heating before scattered thunderstorms develop, a pattern consistent with mid-September climatology where average highs reach 89 °F. Model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns or frontal intrusions over the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for 92 °F+ or sub-88 °F outcomes below 15 % each. Updated 12z and 00z runs plus NHC tropical outlook briefings remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$120Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 3:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and GFS ensemble guidance positions Miami’s September 14 high near 88–90 °F, driving the 56.5 % market-implied probability on 90–91 °F. Persistent high humidity, light easterly flow, and abundant moisture support afternoon heating before scattered thunderstorms develop, a pattern consistent with mid-September climatology where average highs reach 89 °F. Model consensus shows limited variability in steering patterns or frontal intrusions over the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for 92 °F+ or sub-88 °F outcomes below 15 % each. Updated 12z and 00z runs plus NHC tropical outlook briefings remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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