**Persistent cloud cover, widespread light rain, and northeasterly flow are capping daytime heating in Tokyo on September 12, 2026, aligning with market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 24°C.** Official forecasts and real-time observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models consistently project highs of 23–25°C under overcast skies and humid conditions, with rainfall totals limiting solar insolation and preventing stronger afternoon warming. This setup deviates from mid-September climatological averages closer to 27–28°C, reflecting a cooler air mass and suppressed boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus at 58.5% for 24°C and 31.5% for 23°C reflects these model runs and current surface readings, with only modest probabilities assigned to 25°C or higher if breaks in the clouds allow brief additional warming before evening. Updated guidance through the afternoon will determine whether the peak edges toward the upper or lower end of the favored range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 12?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 12?
23°C 72%
24°C 26%
25°C 7%
26°C 2%
$25,065 KL.
$25,065 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
63%
24°C
32%
25°C
7%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 72%
24°C 26%
25°C 7%
26°C 2%
$25,065 KL.
$25,065 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
18°C or below
$1,108 KL.
<1%
19°C
$1,226 KL.
<1%
20°C
$1,255 KL.
<1%
21°C
$1,967 KL.
<1%
22°C
$4,388 KL.
<1%
23°C
$3,521 KL.
63%
24°C
$1,892 KL.
32%
25°C
$2,827 KL.
7%
26°C
$2,606 KL.
2%
27°C
$2,186 KL.
<1%
28°C or higher
$2,313 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, widespread light rain, and northeasterly flow are capping daytime heating in Tokyo on September 12, 2026, aligning with market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 24°C.** Official forecasts and real-time observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models consistently project highs of 23–25°C under overcast skies and humid conditions, with rainfall totals limiting solar insolation and preventing stronger afternoon warming. This setup deviates from mid-September climatological averages closer to 27–28°C, reflecting a cooler air mass and suppressed boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus at 58.5% for 24°C and 31.5% for 23°C reflects these model runs and current surface readings, with only modest probabilities assigned to 25°C or higher if breaks in the clouds allow brief additional warming before evening. Updated guidance through the afternoon will determine whether the peak edges toward the upper or lower end of the favored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$25,065Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, widespread light rain, and northeasterly flow are capping daytime heating in Tokyo on September 12, 2026, aligning with market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 24°C.** Official forecasts and real-time observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models consistently project highs of 23–25°C under overcast skies and humid conditions, with rainfall totals limiting solar insolation and preventing stronger afternoon warming. This setup deviates from mid-September climatological averages closer to 27–28°C, reflecting a cooler air mass and suppressed boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus at 58.5% for 24°C and 31.5% for 23°C reflects these model runs and current surface readings, with only modest probabilities assigned to 25°C or higher if breaks in the clouds allow brief additional warming before evening. Updated guidance through the afternoon will determine whether the peak edges toward the upper or lower end of the favored range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$25,065Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover, widespread light rain, and northeasterly flow are capping daytime heating in Tokyo on September 12, 2026, aligning with market-implied odds favoring a daily maximum near 24°C.** Official forecasts and real-time observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models consistently project highs of 23–25°C under overcast skies and humid conditions, with rainfall totals limiting solar insolation and preventing stronger afternoon warming. This setup deviates from mid-September climatological averages closer to 27–28°C, reflecting a cooler air mass and suppressed boundary-layer mixing. Trader consensus at 58.5% for 24°C and 31.5% for 23°C reflects these model runs and current surface readings, with only modest probabilities assigned to 25°C or higher if breaks in the clouds allow brief additional warming before evening. Updated guidance through the afternoon will determine whether the peak edges toward the upper or lower end of the favored range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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