**Current forecast models, including GFS runs, project a Tokyo minimum near 21°C on September 12 amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow that limits nighttime radiational cooling.** Recent observations show evening temperatures holding around 22°C with high humidity near 90 percent, consistent with late-summer patterns where September climatological lows average 19–20°C but warm advection and moisture keep readings elevated. Japan Meteorological Agency data through early September confirm recent minima of 17–20°C, yet today’s stable marine influence supports the market’s 96 percent implied probability for exactly 21°C. A sharper clearing trend or stronger northerly drainage could push readings toward 19–20°C, though model consensus shows low likelihood of such shifts before dawn.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 12?
21°C 96%
20°C 6%
19°C 1.1%
18°C <1%
$6,442 KL.
$6,442 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
96%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 96%
20°C 6%
19°C 1.1%
18°C <1%
$6,442 KL.
$6,442 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
16°C or below
$87 KL.
<1%
17°C
$63 KL.
<1%
18°C
$254 KL.
<1%
19°C
$1,621 KL.
1%
20°C
$1,557 KL.
6%
21°C
$2,467 KL.
96%
22°C
$157 KL.
<1%
23°C
$47 KL.
<1%
24°C
$63 KL.
<1%
25°C
$63 KL.
<1%
26°C or higher
$63 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models, including GFS runs, project a Tokyo minimum near 21°C on September 12 amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow that limits nighttime radiational cooling.** Recent observations show evening temperatures holding around 22°C with high humidity near 90 percent, consistent with late-summer patterns where September climatological lows average 19–20°C but warm advection and moisture keep readings elevated. Japan Meteorological Agency data through early September confirm recent minima of 17–20°C, yet today’s stable marine influence supports the market’s 96 percent implied probability for exactly 21°C. A sharper clearing trend or stronger northerly drainage could push readings toward 19–20°C, though model consensus shows low likelihood of such shifts before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,442Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models, including GFS runs, project a Tokyo minimum near 21°C on September 12 amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow that limits nighttime radiational cooling.** Recent observations show evening temperatures holding around 22°C with high humidity near 90 percent, consistent with late-summer patterns where September climatological lows average 19–20°C but warm advection and moisture keep readings elevated. Japan Meteorological Agency data through early September confirm recent minima of 17–20°C, yet today’s stable marine influence supports the market’s 96 percent implied probability for exactly 21°C. A sharper clearing trend or stronger northerly drainage could push readings toward 19–20°C, though model consensus shows low likelihood of such shifts before dawn.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,442Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models, including GFS runs, project a Tokyo minimum near 21°C on September 12 amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northeasterly flow that limits nighttime radiational cooling.** Recent observations show evening temperatures holding around 22°C with high humidity near 90 percent, consistent with late-summer patterns where September climatological lows average 19–20°C but warm advection and moisture keep readings elevated. Japan Meteorological Agency data through early September confirm recent minima of 17–20°C, yet today’s stable marine influence supports the market’s 96 percent implied probability for exactly 21°C. A sharper clearing trend or stronger northerly drainage could push readings toward 19–20°C, though model consensus shows low likelihood of such shifts before dawn.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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