**Trader consensus for a 33°C high on September 12 in Hong Kong reflects official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that temperature as the daily maximum.** Atmospheric conditions featuring light easterly winds, limited cloud cover, and typical late-summer humidity allowed surface heating to peak near this value, consistent with September climatological normals of around 30–31°C mean maximums. Market-implied odds above 99% indicate traders viewed the verified observation as definitive for resolution criteria based on HKO station data. Only a post-event data revision or reclassification of the recording station could realistically alter the outcome, though such changes are rare for established meteorological records.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
33°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$131,001 KL.
$131,001 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
33°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$131,001 KL.
$131,001 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
$374 KL.
<1%
26°C
$125 KL.
<1%
27°C
$608 KL.
<1%
28°C
$5,133 KL.
<1%
29°C
$7,772 KL.
<1%
30°C
$16,311 KL.
<1%
31°C
$36,993 KL.
<1%
32°C
$26,774 KL.
<1%
33°C
$28,230 KL.
100%
34°C
$7,215 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,466 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus for a 33°C high on September 12 in Hong Kong reflects official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that temperature as the daily maximum.**
Atmospheric conditions featuring light easterly winds, limited cloud cover, and typical late-summer humidity allowed surface heating to peak near this value, consistent with September climatological normals of around 30–31°C mean maximums. Market-implied odds above 99% indicate traders viewed the verified observation as definitive for resolution criteria based on HKO station data. Only a post-event data revision or reclassification of the recording station could realistically alter the outcome, though such changes are rare for established meteorological records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$131,001Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus for a 33°C high on September 12 in Hong Kong reflects official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that temperature as the daily maximum.**
Atmospheric conditions featuring light easterly winds, limited cloud cover, and typical late-summer humidity allowed surface heating to peak near this value, consistent with September climatological normals of around 30–31°C mean maximums. Market-implied odds above 99% indicate traders viewed the verified observation as definitive for resolution criteria based on HKO station data. Only a post-event data revision or reclassification of the recording station could realistically alter the outcome, though such changes are rare for established meteorological records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$131,001Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus for a 33°C high on September 12 in Hong Kong reflects official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirming that temperature as the daily maximum.** Atmospheric conditions featuring light easterly winds, limited cloud cover, and typical late-summer humidity allowed surface heating to peak near this value, consistent with September climatological normals of around 30–31°C mean maximums. Market-implied odds above 99% indicate traders viewed the verified observation as definitive for resolution criteria based on HKO station data. Only a post-event data revision or reclassification of the recording station could realistically alter the outcome, though such changes are rare for established meteorological records.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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