**Northeast monsoon flow combined with a tropical depression over the South China Sea is the dominant driver suppressing Hong Kong’s maximum temperature on September 13.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 25–29 °C range under mainly cloudy skies with showers and thunderstorms, while multiple models cluster near 28–29 °C. This setup contrasts with the late-summer climatological average of roughly 30–31 °C, as enhanced easterly winds and increased cloud cover reduce insolation and limit daytime heating. Trader consensus around 29 °C (32.5 %) versus 30 °C (27.5 %) reflects uncertainty in shower timing and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin will refine whether the maximum reaches or exceeds 30 °C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 13?
29°C 35%
30°C 28%
28°C 21%
31°C 15%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
21%
29°C
35%
30°C
28%
31°C
15%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 35%
30°C 28%
28°C 21%
31°C 15%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
21%
29°C
35%
30°C
28%
31°C
15%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Northeast monsoon flow combined with a tropical depression over the South China Sea is the dominant driver suppressing Hong Kong’s maximum temperature on September 13.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance projects a 25–29 °C range under mainly cloudy skies with showers and thunderstorms, while multiple models cluster near 28–29 °C. This setup contrasts with the late-summer climatological average of roughly 30–31 °C, as enhanced easterly winds and increased cloud cover reduce insolation and limit daytime heating. Trader consensus around 29 °C (32.5 %) versus 30 °C (27.5 %) reflects uncertainty in shower timing and any late-day clearing that could allow brief warming. Updated model runs and the next HKO bulletin will refine whether the maximum reaches or exceeds 30 °C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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