Stable high-pressure systems and northeasterly flow have maintained clear skies over Shanghai on September 12, 2026, with official observations and model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicating a daytime peak near 28°C. Hourly data show temperatures rising from morning lows around 22–23°C to afternoon maxima of 28–29°C under low humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological September averages. Trader consensus at 96.5% implied probability for exactly 28°C reflects this alignment of real-time measurements and forecast reliability. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in solar heating or a sudden shift in steering patterns that pushes the official high to 29°C or higher before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 12?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 12?
28°C 99%
29°C 2%
30°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$74,492 KL.
$74,492 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
99%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99%
29°C 2%
30°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$74,492 KL.
$74,492 KL.
Sep 12, 2026
25°C or below
$374 KL.
<1%
26°C
$1,612 KL.
<1%
27°C
$12,456 KL.
<1%
28°C
$24,675 KL.
99%
29°C
$10,534 KL.
2%
30°C
$14,204 KL.
1%
31°C
$6,432 KL.
<1%
32°C
$3,199 KL.
<1%
33°C
$625 KL.
<1%
34°C
$128 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$253 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure systems and northeasterly flow have maintained clear skies over Shanghai on September 12, 2026, with official observations and model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicating a daytime peak near 28°C. Hourly data show temperatures rising from morning lows around 22–23°C to afternoon maxima of 28–29°C under low humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological September averages. Trader consensus at 96.5% implied probability for exactly 28°C reflects this alignment of real-time measurements and forecast reliability. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in solar heating or a sudden shift in steering patterns that pushes the official high to 29°C or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$74,492Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure systems and northeasterly flow have maintained clear skies over Shanghai on September 12, 2026, with official observations and model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicating a daytime peak near 28°C. Hourly data show temperatures rising from morning lows around 22–23°C to afternoon maxima of 28–29°C under low humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological September averages. Trader consensus at 96.5% implied probability for exactly 28°C reflects this alignment of real-time measurements and forecast reliability. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in solar heating or a sudden shift in steering patterns that pushes the official high to 29°C or higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$74,492Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure systems and northeasterly flow have maintained clear skies over Shanghai on September 12, 2026, with official observations and model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicating a daytime peak near 28°C. Hourly data show temperatures rising from morning lows around 22–23°C to afternoon maxima of 28–29°C under low humidity and light winds, consistent with climatological September averages. Trader consensus at 96.5% implied probability for exactly 28°C reflects this alignment of real-time measurements and forecast reliability. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted surge in solar heating or a sudden shift in steering patterns that pushes the official high to 29°C or higher before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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