**Current model consensus from regional forecasts points to a moderate high near 26°C for Qingdao on September 14, shaped by typical early-autumn East Asian monsoon conditions and strong coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea.** Sea breezes and high humidity limit daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and light southerly winds can either enhance or suppress maximum temperatures by a few degrees. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around this baseline, with historical September averages near 26°C and rare excursions above 30°C or below 24°C absent major systems. The market's near-even split between 34°C+ and ≤24°C likely reflects trader emphasis on tail risks from forecast shifts in insolation or wind patterns, despite limited scientific support for such extremes this close to the date. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will be key to narrowing the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 14?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 14?
34°C or higher 46%
27°C 38%
28°C 38%
32°C 38%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
24°C or below
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
38%
28°C
38%
29°C
23%
30°C
30%
31°C
13%
32°C
38%
33°C
7%
34°C or higher
46%
34°C or higher 46%
27°C 38%
28°C 38%
32°C 38%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
24°C or below
$0 KL.
4%
25°C
$0 KL.
4%
26°C
$0 KL.
4%
27°C
$0 KL.
38%
28°C
$0 KL.
38%
29°C
$0 KL.
23%
30°C
$0 KL.
30%
31°C
$0 KL.
13%
32°C
$0 KL.
38%
33°C
$0 KL.
7%
34°C or higher
$0 KL.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current model consensus from regional forecasts points to a moderate high near 26°C for Qingdao on September 14, shaped by typical early-autumn East Asian monsoon conditions and strong coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea.** Sea breezes and high humidity limit daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and light southerly winds can either enhance or suppress maximum temperatures by a few degrees. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around this baseline, with historical September averages near 26°C and rare excursions above 30°C or below 24°C absent major systems. The market's near-even split between 34°C+ and ≤24°C likely reflects trader emphasis on tail risks from forecast shifts in insolation or wind patterns, despite limited scientific support for such extremes this close to the date. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will be key to narrowing the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current model consensus from regional forecasts points to a moderate high near 26°C for Qingdao on September 14, shaped by typical early-autumn East Asian monsoon conditions and strong coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea.** Sea breezes and high humidity limit daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and light southerly winds can either enhance or suppress maximum temperatures by a few degrees. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around this baseline, with historical September averages near 26°C and rare excursions above 30°C or below 24°C absent major systems. The market's near-even split between 34°C+ and ≤24°C likely reflects trader emphasis on tail risks from forecast shifts in insolation or wind patterns, despite limited scientific support for such extremes this close to the date. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will be key to narrowing the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Current model consensus from regional forecasts points to a moderate high near 26°C for Qingdao on September 14, shaped by typical early-autumn East Asian monsoon conditions and strong coastal moderation from the Yellow Sea.** Sea breezes and high humidity limit daytime heating, while variable cloud cover and light southerly winds can either enhance or suppress maximum temperatures by a few degrees. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around this baseline, with historical September averages near 26°C and rare excursions above 30°C or below 24°C absent major systems. The market's near-even split between 34°C+ and ≤24°C likely reflects trader emphasis on tail risks from forecast shifts in insolation or wind patterns, despite limited scientific support for such extremes this close to the date. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will be key to narrowing the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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