Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a high near 27–29°C in Milan on September 14 under mostly clear skies with light southeasterly flow and minimal cloud cover, supporting strong daytime insolation. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 28–30°C, as traders weigh stable high-pressure conditions and above-average September warmth against typical seasonal cooling toward 22–24°C. Low precipitation risk and modest humidity further favor peak readings in the upper 20s, though urban heat island effects at official stations and minor model spread introduce uncertainty ahead of final updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on September 14?
29°C 44%
30°C 37%
28°C 26%
27°C 17%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
15%
27°C
17%
28°C
26%
29°C
44%
30°C
37%
31°C or higher
14%
29°C 44%
30°C 37%
28°C 26%
27°C 17%
21°C or below
4%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
15%
27°C
17%
28°C
26%
29°C
44%
30°C
37%
31°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate a high near 27–29°C in Milan on September 14 under mostly clear skies with light southeasterly flow and minimal cloud cover, supporting strong daytime insolation. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 28–30°C, as traders weigh stable high-pressure conditions and above-average September warmth against typical seasonal cooling toward 22–24°C. Low precipitation risk and modest humidity further favor peak readings in the upper 20s, though urban heat island effects at official stations and minor model spread introduce uncertainty ahead of final updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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