Stable high-pressure conditions and light southeasterly winds are supporting a modest daytime warming trend across the Po Valley, with numerical weather models converging on a maximum of 25–27 °C for Milan on September 13. Ensemble guidance from sources such as GFS and ECMWF shows limited spread, with most runs peaking near 26 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 26 °C (59.5 %) and 27 °C (34.5 %), while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given the absence of strong advection or frontal systems. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key data points that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on September 13?
Highest temperature in Milan on September 13?
26°C 60%
27°C 34%
25°C 5%
28°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
60%
27°C
34%
28°C
4%
29°C or higher
1%
26°C 60%
27°C 34%
25°C 5%
28°C 4%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
19°C or below
$1,406 KL.
<1%
20°C
$813 KL.
<1%
21°C
$509 KL.
<1%
22°C
$404 KL.
<1%
23°C
$199 KL.
<1%
24°C
$355 KL.
2%
25°C
$585 KL.
5%
26°C
$1,075 KL.
60%
27°C
$787 KL.
34%
28°C
$431 KL.
4%
29°C or higher
$223 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and light southeasterly winds are supporting a modest daytime warming trend across the Po Valley, with numerical weather models converging on a maximum of 25–27 °C for Milan on September 13. Ensemble guidance from sources such as GFS and ECMWF shows limited spread, with most runs peaking near 26 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 26 °C (59.5 %) and 27 °C (34.5 %), while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given the absence of strong advection or frontal systems. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key data points that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,787Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Stable high-pressure conditions and light southeasterly winds are supporting a modest daytime warming trend across the Po Valley, with numerical weather models converging on a maximum of 25–27 °C for Milan on September 13. Ensemble guidance from sources such as GFS and ECMWF shows limited spread, with most runs peaking near 26 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 26 °C (59.5 %) and 27 °C (34.5 %), while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given the absence of strong advection or frontal systems. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key data points that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,787Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure conditions and light southeasterly winds are supporting a modest daytime warming trend across the Po Valley, with numerical weather models converging on a maximum of 25–27 °C for Milan on September 13. Ensemble guidance from sources such as GFS and ECMWF shows limited spread, with most runs peaking near 26 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 26 °C (59.5 %) and 27 °C (34.5 %), while cooler or hotter outliers remain low-probability given the absence of strong advection or frontal systems. Updated model runs and official agency briefings over the next 24 hours represent the key data points that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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