Persistent southerly flow behind a recent cold front, combined with widespread cloud cover and scattered rain, is suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo and anchoring market-implied odds near 17–18°C for September 13. These conditions limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping the maximum well below the September climatological average of about 23°C. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and regional guidance shows highs clustered at 16–19°C, with the narrow spread between leading outcomes reflecting minor differences in forecast rain timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs from INMET or CPTEC, expected within the next 12–24 hours, will clarify whether any late-day clearing could push the peak toward 18–19°C or keep it capped near 17°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 13?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 13?
17°C 37%
18°C 29%
16°C 16%
19°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
7%
16°C
16%
17°C
37%
18°C
29%
19°C
9%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 37%
18°C 29%
16°C 16%
19°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 13, 2026
12°C or below
$25 KL.
1%
13°C
$0 KL.
2%
14°C
$5 KL.
3%
15°C
$0 KL.
7%
16°C
$162 KL.
16%
17°C
$293 KL.
37%
18°C
$69 KL.
29%
19°C
$333 KL.
9%
20°C
$17 KL.
4%
21°C
$67 KL.
2%
22°C or higher
$318 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow behind a recent cold front, combined with widespread cloud cover and scattered rain, is suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo and anchoring market-implied odds near 17–18°C for September 13. These conditions limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping the maximum well below the September climatological average of about 23°C. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and regional guidance shows highs clustered at 16–19°C, with the narrow spread between leading outcomes reflecting minor differences in forecast rain timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs from INMET or CPTEC, expected within the next 12–24 hours, will clarify whether any late-day clearing could push the peak toward 18–19°C or keep it capped near 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,290Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow behind a recent cold front, combined with widespread cloud cover and scattered rain, is suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo and anchoring market-implied odds near 17–18°C for September 13. These conditions limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping the maximum well below the September climatological average of about 23°C. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and regional guidance shows highs clustered at 16–19°C, with the narrow spread between leading outcomes reflecting minor differences in forecast rain timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs from INMET or CPTEC, expected within the next 12–24 hours, will clarify whether any late-day clearing could push the peak toward 18–19°C or keep it capped near 17°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,290Ngày kết thúc
Sep 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 11, 2026, 8:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southerly flow behind a recent cold front, combined with widespread cloud cover and scattered rain, is suppressing daytime heating in São Paulo and anchoring market-implied odds near 17–18°C for September 13. These conditions limit solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, keeping the maximum well below the September climatological average of about 23°C. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and regional guidance shows highs clustered at 16–19°C, with the narrow spread between leading outcomes reflecting minor differences in forecast rain timing and boundary-layer mixing. Updated runs from INMET or CPTEC, expected within the next 12–24 hours, will clarify whether any late-day clearing could push the peak toward 18–19°C or keep it capped near 17°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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