Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin project overnight lows in the mid-70s on September 14, driven by persistent southerly winds, high humidity, and a strong warm-air advection pattern that has kept minimum temperatures elevated well above the historical average of around 68°F. This setup reduces the likelihood of radiational cooling under mostly clear skies. With leading market-implied odds nearly even between sub-70°F and 88°F-plus outcomes, traders appear to weigh residual model spread, potential timing shifts in frontal boundaries, and the possibility of localized variations in dew points or cloud cover that could alter the minimum by several degrees. Updated runs from NOAA and short-range guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Austin on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 14?
88°F or higher 92%
69°F or below 90%
74-75°F 40%
70-71°F 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
69°F or below
90%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88°F or higher
92%
88°F or higher 92%
69°F or below 90%
74-75°F 40%
70-71°F 39%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 14, 2026
69°F or below
$0 KL.
90%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
39%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
39%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
40%
76-77°F
$0 KL.
24%
78-79°F
$0 KL.
23%
80-81°F
$0 KL.
39%
82-83°F
$0 KL.
39%
84-85°F
$0 KL.
39%
86-87°F
$0 KL.
39%
88°F or higher
$0 KL.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin project overnight lows in the mid-70s on September 14, driven by persistent southerly winds, high humidity, and a strong warm-air advection pattern that has kept minimum temperatures elevated well above the historical average of around 68°F. This setup reduces the likelihood of radiational cooling under mostly clear skies. With leading market-implied odds nearly even between sub-70°F and 88°F-plus outcomes, traders appear to weigh residual model spread, potential timing shifts in frontal boundaries, and the possibility of localized variations in dew points or cloud cover that could alter the minimum by several degrees. Updated runs from NOAA and short-range guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin project overnight lows in the mid-70s on September 14, driven by persistent southerly winds, high humidity, and a strong warm-air advection pattern that has kept minimum temperatures elevated well above the historical average of around 68°F. This setup reduces the likelihood of radiational cooling under mostly clear skies. With leading market-implied odds nearly even between sub-70°F and 88°F-plus outcomes, traders appear to weigh residual model spread, potential timing shifts in frontal boundaries, and the possibility of localized variations in dew points or cloud cover that could alter the minimum by several degrees. Updated runs from NOAA and short-range guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 12, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model consensus forecasts for Austin project overnight lows in the mid-70s on September 14, driven by persistent southerly winds, high humidity, and a strong warm-air advection pattern that has kept minimum temperatures elevated well above the historical average of around 68°F. This setup reduces the likelihood of radiational cooling under mostly clear skies. With leading market-implied odds nearly even between sub-70°F and 88°F-plus outcomes, traders appear to weigh residual model spread, potential timing shifts in frontal boundaries, and the possibility of localized variations in dew points or cloud cover that could alter the minimum by several degrees. Updated runs from NOAA and short-range guidance ahead of the date will likely refine these probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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