**Current forecasts for Buenos Aires on September 14 show maximum temperatures clustered around 12–15°C under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds, with model ensembles from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicating modest warming from recent cool conditions.** High-pressure dominance supports daytime heating, yet slight differences in advection timing and boundary-layer mixing create spread across 14–17°C outcomes. Historical September averages near 14–15°C provide context, while the tight market distribution around 15–17°C reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty rather than consensus on a single value. New official updates from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and fresh model runs will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 14?
16°C 29%
17°C 29%
15°C 27%
14°C 9%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
4%
14°C
9%
15°C
27%
16°C
29%
17°C
29%
18°C
6%
19°C
5%
20°C or higher
2%
16°C 29%
17°C 29%
15°C 27%
14°C 9%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
4%
14°C
9%
15°C
27%
16°C
29%
17°C
29%
18°C
6%
19°C
5%
20°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts for Buenos Aires on September 14 show maximum temperatures clustered around 12–15°C under mostly clear skies and light northerly winds, with model ensembles from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicating modest warming from recent cool conditions.** High-pressure dominance supports daytime heating, yet slight differences in advection timing and boundary-layer mixing create spread across 14–17°C outcomes. Historical September averages near 14–15°C provide context, while the tight market distribution around 15–17°C reflects genuine short-term forecast uncertainty rather than consensus on a single value. New official updates from Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and fresh model runs will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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