Official measurements from Brazil’s Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) at the Mirante de Santana station confirmed a daily maximum of 16°C in São Paulo on September 14, 2026, locking in the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent heavy rainfall—already pushing the month toward record totals more than three times the climatological average—combined with extensive cloud cover and advection of cooler maritime air kept temperatures well below seasonal norms. Model guidance and surface observations showed limited diurnal warming under overcast skies, with highs consistently reported in the mid-teens Celsius. While minor station differences or rounding conventions could theoretically affect resolution, the consensus across official networks leaves little realistic room for deviation from 16°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 14?
16°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$33,284 KL.
$33,284 KL.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$33,284 KL.
$33,284 KL.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 12, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official measurements from Brazil’s Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia (Inmet) at the Mirante de Santana station confirmed a daily maximum of 16°C in São Paulo on September 14, 2026, locking in the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent heavy rainfall—already pushing the month toward record totals more than three times the climatological average—combined with extensive cloud cover and advection of cooler maritime air kept temperatures well below seasonal norms. Model guidance and surface observations showed limited diurnal warming under overcast skies, with highs consistently reported in the mid-teens Celsius. While minor station differences or rounding conventions could theoretically affect resolution, the consensus across official networks leaves little realistic room for deviation from 16°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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