Recent National Weather Service and local forecast models indicate a stalled high-pressure system east of Southeast Texas will sustain mostly sunny skies, light southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover over Houston on September 15, supporting afternoon highs near 94°F with only a 20-30% chance of isolated showers that are unlikely to suppress peak temperatures. This pattern aligns with mid-September climatology but features elevated humidity and heat indices above 100°F, consistent with the dry conditions prevailing since earlier in the summer. Model consensus from NOAA and regional outlooks centers the daily maximum in the 93-95°F range, driving trader emphasis on the 94-95°F bin while assigning lower implied probability to cooler or hotter outliers pending any late forecast revisions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Houston on September 15?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 15?
94-95°F 53%
92-93°F 36%
96-97°F 10%
90-91°F 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
36%
94-95°F
53%
96-97°F
10%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
1%
104°F or higher
1%
94-95°F 53%
92-93°F 36%
96-97°F 10%
90-91°F 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 15, 2026
85°F or below
$37 KL.
<1%
86-87°F
$0 KL.
1%
88-89°F
$0 KL.
3%
90-91°F
$283 KL.
5%
92-93°F
$654 KL.
36%
94-95°F
$1,333 KL.
53%
96-97°F
$433 KL.
10%
98-99°F
$0 KL.
3%
100-101°F
$0 KL.
2%
102-103°F
$129 KL.
1%
104°F or higher
$129 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local forecast models indicate a stalled high-pressure system east of Southeast Texas will sustain mostly sunny skies, light southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover over Houston on September 15, supporting afternoon highs near 94°F with only a 20-30% chance of isolated showers that are unlikely to suppress peak temperatures. This pattern aligns with mid-September climatology but features elevated humidity and heat indices above 100°F, consistent with the dry conditions prevailing since earlier in the summer. Model consensus from NOAA and regional outlooks centers the daily maximum in the 93-95°F range, driving trader emphasis on the 94-95°F bin while assigning lower implied probability to cooler or hotter outliers pending any late forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,998Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local forecast models indicate a stalled high-pressure system east of Southeast Texas will sustain mostly sunny skies, light southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover over Houston on September 15, supporting afternoon highs near 94°F with only a 20-30% chance of isolated showers that are unlikely to suppress peak temperatures. This pattern aligns with mid-September climatology but features elevated humidity and heat indices above 100°F, consistent with the dry conditions prevailing since earlier in the summer. Model consensus from NOAA and regional outlooks centers the daily maximum in the 93-95°F range, driving trader emphasis on the 94-95°F bin while assigning lower implied probability to cooler or hotter outliers pending any late forecast revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,998Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and local forecast models indicate a stalled high-pressure system east of Southeast Texas will sustain mostly sunny skies, light southeast winds, and minimal cloud cover over Houston on September 15, supporting afternoon highs near 94°F with only a 20-30% chance of isolated showers that are unlikely to suppress peak temperatures. This pattern aligns with mid-September climatology but features elevated humidity and heat indices above 100°F, consistent with the dry conditions prevailing since earlier in the summer. Model consensus from NOAA and regional outlooks centers the daily maximum in the 93-95°F range, driving trader emphasis on the 94-95°F bin while assigning lower implied probability to cooler or hotter outliers pending any late forecast revisions.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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