**Northeast monsoon flow and a high-pressure ridge over southern China have established generally fine, dry conditions across Hong Kong on September 16, 2026, supporting the market-implied 96.5% probability for a 31°C daily maximum.** The Hong Kong Observatory forecast calls for partly cloudy skies early with isolated showers possible, transitioning to mostly sunny and dry weather under moderate easterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Afternoon temperatures at the observatory and urban stations have reached 31–32°C by mid-afternoon, consistent with model consensus and climatological norms for mid-September under these synoptic patterns. The 2.5% odds on 32°C reflect limited upside potential if localized heating intensifies or if official readings edge higher at specific sites, while sub-30°C outcomes remain improbable absent significant cloud cover or precipitation not currently indicated in official guidance. Updated HKO observations and any late-day forecast revisions represent the key near-term data points that could influence final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 16?
31°C 96%
32°C 5%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$109,568 KL.
$109,568 KL.
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
96%
32°C
5%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 96%
32°C 5%
33°C <1%
25°C or below <1%
$109,568 KL.
$109,568 KL.
Sep 16, 2026
25°C or below
$712 KL.
<1%
26°C
$259 KL.
<1%
27°C
$1,354 KL.
<1%
28°C
$36,940 KL.
<1%
29°C
$10,612 KL.
<1%
30°C
$23,957 KL.
<1%
31°C
$11,748 KL.
96%
32°C
$11,679 KL.
5%
33°C
$8,667 KL.
<1%
34°C
$1,686 KL.
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,955 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Northeast monsoon flow and a high-pressure ridge over southern China have established generally fine, dry conditions across Hong Kong on September 16, 2026, supporting the market-implied 96.5% probability for a 31°C daily maximum.** The Hong Kong Observatory forecast calls for partly cloudy skies early with isolated showers possible, transitioning to mostly sunny and dry weather under moderate easterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Afternoon temperatures at the observatory and urban stations have reached 31–32°C by mid-afternoon, consistent with model consensus and climatological norms for mid-September under these synoptic patterns. The 2.5% odds on 32°C reflect limited upside potential if localized heating intensifies or if official readings edge higher at specific sites, while sub-30°C outcomes remain improbable absent significant cloud cover or precipitation not currently indicated in official guidance. Updated HKO observations and any late-day forecast revisions represent the key near-term data points that could influence final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$109,568Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Northeast monsoon flow and a high-pressure ridge over southern China have established generally fine, dry conditions across Hong Kong on September 16, 2026, supporting the market-implied 96.5% probability for a 31°C daily maximum.** The Hong Kong Observatory forecast calls for partly cloudy skies early with isolated showers possible, transitioning to mostly sunny and dry weather under moderate easterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Afternoon temperatures at the observatory and urban stations have reached 31–32°C by mid-afternoon, consistent with model consensus and climatological norms for mid-September under these synoptic patterns. The 2.5% odds on 32°C reflect limited upside potential if localized heating intensifies or if official readings edge higher at specific sites, while sub-30°C outcomes remain improbable absent significant cloud cover or precipitation not currently indicated in official guidance. Updated HKO observations and any late-day forecast revisions represent the key near-term data points that could influence final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$109,568Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Northeast monsoon flow and a high-pressure ridge over southern China have established generally fine, dry conditions across Hong Kong on September 16, 2026, supporting the market-implied 96.5% probability for a 31°C daily maximum.** The Hong Kong Observatory forecast calls for partly cloudy skies early with isolated showers possible, transitioning to mostly sunny and dry weather under moderate easterly winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale. Afternoon temperatures at the observatory and urban stations have reached 31–32°C by mid-afternoon, consistent with model consensus and climatological norms for mid-September under these synoptic patterns. The 2.5% odds on 32°C reflect limited upside potential if localized heating intensifies or if official readings edge higher at specific sites, while sub-30°C outcomes remain improbable absent significant cloud cover or precipitation not currently indicated in official guidance. Updated HKO observations and any late-day forecast revisions represent the key near-term data points that could influence final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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