**Trader consensus centers on 31–33°C as the most likely daily maximum for Manila on September 18, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions featuring widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and afternoon convection.** Frequent thunderstorms, fueled by moist southwesterly flow and the intertropical convergence zone, typically cap peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced solar insolation. Historical climatology shows September maxima averaging near 30–31°C, with 32–33°C occurring when convection is delayed or less intense. Model spreads in precipitation timing and intensity create the tight clustering around these values, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clear, hot conditions during peak rainy-season instability. Updated National Meteorological and Hydrological Services guidance on steering patterns and instability indices will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on September 18?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 18?
32°C 34%
31°C 27%
33°C 26%
30°C 5%
MỚI
$12,021 KL.
MỚI
$12,021 KL.
Sep 18, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
27%
32°C
34%
33°C
26%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 34%
31°C 27%
33°C 26%
30°C 5%
MỚI
$12,021 KL.
MỚI
$12,021 KL.
Sep 18, 2026
28°C or below
$102 KL.
2%
29°C
$201 KL.
2%
30°C
$745 KL.
5%
31°C
$2,456 KL.
27%
32°C
$1,708 KL.
34%
33°C
$5,255 KL.
26%
34°C
$1,016 KL.
5%
35°C
$22 KL.
2%
36°C
$123 KL.
<1%
37°C
$169 KL.
<1%
38°C or higher
$225 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 31–33°C as the most likely daily maximum for Manila on September 18, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions featuring widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and afternoon convection.**
Frequent thunderstorms, fueled by moist southwesterly flow and the intertropical convergence zone, typically cap peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced solar insolation. Historical climatology shows September maxima averaging near 30–31°C, with 32–33°C occurring when convection is delayed or less intense. Model spreads in precipitation timing and intensity create the tight clustering around these values, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clear, hot conditions during peak rainy-season instability. Updated National Meteorological and Hydrological Services guidance on steering patterns and instability indices will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,021Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on 31–33°C as the most likely daily maximum for Manila on September 18, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions featuring widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and afternoon convection.**
Frequent thunderstorms, fueled by moist southwesterly flow and the intertropical convergence zone, typically cap peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced solar insolation. Historical climatology shows September maxima averaging near 30–31°C, with 32–33°C occurring when convection is delayed or less intense. Model spreads in precipitation timing and intensity create the tight clustering around these values, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clear, hot conditions during peak rainy-season instability. Updated National Meteorological and Hydrological Services guidance on steering patterns and instability indices will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$12,021Ngày kết thúc
Sep 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 16, 2026, 12:59 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on 31–33°C as the most likely daily maximum for Manila on September 18, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions featuring widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and afternoon convection.** Frequent thunderstorms, fueled by moist southwesterly flow and the intertropical convergence zone, typically cap peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced solar insolation. Historical climatology shows September maxima averaging near 30–31°C, with 32–33°C occurring when convection is delayed or less intense. Model spreads in precipitation timing and intensity create the tight clustering around these values, while lower probabilities for 34°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clear, hot conditions during peak rainy-season instability. Updated National Meteorological and Hydrological Services guidance on steering patterns and instability indices will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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