Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show a maximum temperature of 19°C as the leading outcome for Moscow on September 19, aligning with the 55.5% market-implied odds. A southwest flow ahead of an approaching front, combined with increasing cloud cover and light winds, is expected to cap daytime heating after cooler conditions on the 18th. This setup follows a stretch of above-normal warmth earlier in the month and matches typical mid-September climatology for the region. Minor model spread around 18–20°C keeps those outcomes viable at 21.5% and 16.0% respectively, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any afternoon clearing or light precipitation. Updated runs from agencies like Roshydromet will refine the final maximum before the market settles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on September 19?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 19?
19°C 54%
18°C 24%
16°C 15%
17°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
15%
17°C
12%
18°C
24%
19°C
54%
20°C
11%
21°C
6%
22°C
10%
23°C or higher
9%
19°C 54%
18°C 24%
16°C 15%
17°C 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
13°C or below
$111 KL.
<1%
14°C
$111 KL.
<1%
15°C
$63 KL.
2%
16°C
$0 KL.
15%
17°C
$8 KL.
12%
18°C
$35 KL.
24%
19°C
$190 KL.
54%
20°C
$132 KL.
11%
21°C
$8 KL.
6%
22°C
$0 KL.
10%
23°C or higher
$0 KL.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show a maximum temperature of 19°C as the leading outcome for Moscow on September 19, aligning with the 55.5% market-implied odds. A southwest flow ahead of an approaching front, combined with increasing cloud cover and light winds, is expected to cap daytime heating after cooler conditions on the 18th. This setup follows a stretch of above-normal warmth earlier in the month and matches typical mid-September climatology for the region. Minor model spread around 18–20°C keeps those outcomes viable at 21.5% and 16.0% respectively, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any afternoon clearing or light precipitation. Updated runs from agencies like Roshydromet will refine the final maximum before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$658Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show a maximum temperature of 19°C as the leading outcome for Moscow on September 19, aligning with the 55.5% market-implied odds. A southwest flow ahead of an approaching front, combined with increasing cloud cover and light winds, is expected to cap daytime heating after cooler conditions on the 18th. This setup follows a stretch of above-normal warmth earlier in the month and matches typical mid-September climatology for the region. Minor model spread around 18–20°C keeps those outcomes viable at 21.5% and 16.0% respectively, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any afternoon clearing or light precipitation. Updated runs from agencies like Roshydromet will refine the final maximum before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$658Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global models show a maximum temperature of 19°C as the leading outcome for Moscow on September 19, aligning with the 55.5% market-implied odds. A southwest flow ahead of an approaching front, combined with increasing cloud cover and light winds, is expected to cap daytime heating after cooler conditions on the 18th. This setup follows a stretch of above-normal warmth earlier in the month and matches typical mid-September climatology for the region. Minor model spread around 18–20°C keeps those outcomes viable at 21.5% and 16.0% respectively, with resolution hinging on the precise timing of any afternoon clearing or light precipitation. Updated runs from agencies like Roshydromet will refine the final maximum before the market settles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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