**Forecast consensus for Austin on September 19 points to a minimum temperature in the low-to-mid 70s°F, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities on 70–75°F outcomes.** Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow are limiting radiational cooling overnight while a warm air mass sustains elevated lows, well above the 1991–2020 average of 67°F. Recent model runs from the National Weather Service and GFS show minimal spread, with projected lows of 72–75°F and negligible precipitation risk. This setup favors the tightly bunched 70–75°F bins over cooler or warmer extremes. Traders are weighting the stable synoptic pattern and short lead time, though minor shifts in dew points or wind could adjust final readings before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Austin on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 19?
68-69°F 40%
70-71°F 25%
72-73°F 22%
74-75°F 21%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
63°F or below
7%
64-65°F
11%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
40%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
21%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
7%
82°F or higher
5%
68-69°F 40%
70-71°F 25%
72-73°F 22%
74-75°F 21%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 19, 2026
63°F or below
$0 KL.
7%
64-65°F
$0 KL.
11%
66-67°F
$0 KL.
19%
68-69°F
$0 KL.
40%
70-71°F
$0 KL.
25%
72-73°F
$0 KL.
22%
74-75°F
$0 KL.
21%
76-77°F
$0 KL.
19%
78-79°F
$0 KL.
11%
80-81°F
$0 KL.
7%
82°F or higher
$0 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Austin on September 19 points to a minimum temperature in the low-to-mid 70s°F, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities on 70–75°F outcomes.** Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow are limiting radiational cooling overnight while a warm air mass sustains elevated lows, well above the 1991–2020 average of 67°F. Recent model runs from the National Weather Service and GFS show minimal spread, with projected lows of 72–75°F and negligible precipitation risk. This setup favors the tightly bunched 70–75°F bins over cooler or warmer extremes. Traders are weighting the stable synoptic pattern and short lead time, though minor shifts in dew points or wind could adjust final readings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus for Austin on September 19 points to a minimum temperature in the low-to-mid 70s°F, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities on 70–75°F outcomes.** Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow are limiting radiational cooling overnight while a warm air mass sustains elevated lows, well above the 1991–2020 average of 67°F. Recent model runs from the National Weather Service and GFS show minimal spread, with projected lows of 72–75°F and negligible precipitation risk. This setup favors the tightly bunched 70–75°F bins over cooler or warmer extremes. Traders are weighting the stable synoptic pattern and short lead time, though minor shifts in dew points or wind could adjust final readings before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 17, 2026, 3:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus for Austin on September 19 points to a minimum temperature in the low-to-mid 70s°F, aligning with the market's clustered probabilities on 70–75°F outcomes.** Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow are limiting radiational cooling overnight while a warm air mass sustains elevated lows, well above the 1991–2020 average of 67°F. Recent model runs from the National Weather Service and GFS show minimal spread, with projected lows of 72–75°F and negligible precipitation risk. This setup favors the tightly bunched 70–75°F bins over cooler or warmer extremes. Traders are weighting the stable synoptic pattern and short lead time, though minor shifts in dew points or wind could adjust final readings before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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