Recent model consensus points to a sharp cooldown in Wuhan on September 17 driven by northerly flow and a rain-bearing system, with official guidance centering daytime maxima near 22°C under widespread cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy precipitation. Persistent northeast winds, high relative humidity, and reduced solar insolation from thick stratiform clouds are the dominant factors capping temperatures, while evaporative cooling from rainfall further suppresses the peak. Ensemble spreads in global and regional models create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–23°C, as minor differences in rain timing, cloud thickness, or wind gust strength can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 17?
22°C 27%
21°C 23%
23°C 21%
20°C or below 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
20°C or below
16%
21°C
23%
22°C
27%
23°C
21%
24°C
12%
25°C
9%
26°C
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
1%
22°C 27%
21°C 23%
23°C 21%
20°C or below 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
20°C or below
$681 KL.
16%
21°C
$95 KL.
23%
22°C
$174 KL.
27%
23°C
$0 KL.
21%
24°C
$5 KL.
12%
25°C
$0 KL.
9%
26°C
$0 KL.
4%
27°C
$0 KL.
3%
28°C
$81 KL.
1%
29°C
$81 KL.
1%
30°C or higher
$81 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a sharp cooldown in Wuhan on September 17 driven by northerly flow and a rain-bearing system, with official guidance centering daytime maxima near 22°C under widespread cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy precipitation. Persistent northeast winds, high relative humidity, and reduced solar insolation from thick stratiform clouds are the dominant factors capping temperatures, while evaporative cooling from rainfall further suppresses the peak. Ensemble spreads in global and regional models create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–23°C, as minor differences in rain timing, cloud thickness, or wind gust strength can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,198Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus points to a sharp cooldown in Wuhan on September 17 driven by northerly flow and a rain-bearing system, with official guidance centering daytime maxima near 22°C under widespread cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy precipitation. Persistent northeast winds, high relative humidity, and reduced solar insolation from thick stratiform clouds are the dominant factors capping temperatures, while evaporative cooling from rainfall further suppresses the peak. Ensemble spreads in global and regional models create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–23°C, as minor differences in rain timing, cloud thickness, or wind gust strength can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,198Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus points to a sharp cooldown in Wuhan on September 17 driven by northerly flow and a rain-bearing system, with official guidance centering daytime maxima near 22°C under widespread cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy precipitation. Persistent northeast winds, high relative humidity, and reduced solar insolation from thick stratiform clouds are the dominant factors capping temperatures, while evaporative cooling from rainfall further suppresses the peak. Ensemble spreads in global and regional models create the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 21–23°C, as minor differences in rain timing, cloud thickness, or wind gust strength can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these boundaries ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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