Marine layer strengthening and onshore southwest flow are suppressing San Francisco's high temperature on September 16, 2026, with National Weather Service and model guidance centering on 64–68°F amid increased cloud cover and a cut-off low over Northern California. This setup deepens the cool, moist boundary layer typical of late summer, limiting solar heating compared to the 70.8°F September average and recent warmer days earlier in the month. Trader consensus around 66–69°F reflects this persistent marine influence, with modest upside risk if the layer thins faster than expected during peak afternoon hours. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine resolution odds as conditions evolve.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 16?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 16?
68-69°F 47%
66-67°F 33%
70-71°F 12%
64-65°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
33%
68-69°F
47%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78°F or higher
<1%
68-69°F 47%
66-67°F 33%
70-71°F 12%
64-65°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 16, 2026
59°F or below
$521 KL.
<1%
60-61°F
$227 KL.
<1%
62-63°F
$20 KL.
2%
64-65°F
$852 KL.
6%
66-67°F
$1,276 KL.
33%
68-69°F
$1,687 KL.
47%
70-71°F
$1,093 KL.
12%
72-73°F
$357 KL.
1%
74-75°F
$79 KL.
<1%
76-77°F
$121 KL.
<1%
78°F or higher
$171 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer strengthening and onshore southwest flow are suppressing San Francisco's high temperature on September 16, 2026, with National Weather Service and model guidance centering on 64–68°F amid increased cloud cover and a cut-off low over Northern California. This setup deepens the cool, moist boundary layer typical of late summer, limiting solar heating compared to the 70.8°F September average and recent warmer days earlier in the month. Trader consensus around 66–69°F reflects this persistent marine influence, with modest upside risk if the layer thins faster than expected during peak afternoon hours. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine resolution odds as conditions evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$6,404Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer strengthening and onshore southwest flow are suppressing San Francisco's high temperature on September 16, 2026, with National Weather Service and model guidance centering on 64–68°F amid increased cloud cover and a cut-off low over Northern California. This setup deepens the cool, moist boundary layer typical of late summer, limiting solar heating compared to the 70.8°F September average and recent warmer days earlier in the month. Trader consensus around 66–69°F reflects this persistent marine influence, with modest upside risk if the layer thins faster than expected during peak afternoon hours. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine resolution odds as conditions evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,404Ngày kết thúc
Sep 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 14, 2026, 7:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Marine layer strengthening and onshore southwest flow are suppressing San Francisco's high temperature on September 16, 2026, with National Weather Service and model guidance centering on 64–68°F amid increased cloud cover and a cut-off low over Northern California. This setup deepens the cool, moist boundary layer typical of late summer, limiting solar heating compared to the 70.8°F September average and recent warmer days earlier in the month. Trader consensus around 66–69°F reflects this persistent marine influence, with modest upside risk if the layer thins faster than expected during peak afternoon hours. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon observations will refine resolution odds as conditions evolve.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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