Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate sunny conditions and a high near 90°F for Atlanta on September 15, aligning with the market's leading 90-91°F bin at 57% implied probability. Easterly winds of 10-15 mph and high pressure should limit afternoon heating while keeping skies clear, producing values close to the late-summer climatological range but above the 83.7°F historical average. Recent model runs show little spread, with consensus holding steady over the past 48 hours and minimal precipitation risk. Traders appear to weigh this stability against the possibility of slight upward revisions if winds weaken or insolation exceeds expectations, though probabilities for 92°F+ remain secondary at under 20% combined. Updated NWS briefings ahead of the date will provide the final resolution inputs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Atlanta on September 15?
90-91°F 58%
92-93°F 20%
88-89°F 18%
94-95°F 6%
81°F or below
2%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
58%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
2%
100°F or higher
2%
90-91°F 58%
92-93°F 20%
88-89°F 18%
94-95°F 6%
81°F or below
2%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
18%
90-91°F
58%
92-93°F
20%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
2%
100°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katlNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models indicate sunny conditions and a high near 90°F for Atlanta on September 15, aligning with the market's leading 90-91°F bin at 57% implied probability. Easterly winds of 10-15 mph and high pressure should limit afternoon heating while keeping skies clear, producing values close to the late-summer climatological range but above the 83.7°F historical average. Recent model runs show little spread, with consensus holding steady over the past 48 hours and minimal precipitation risk. Traders appear to weigh this stability against the possibility of slight upward revisions if winds weaken or insolation exceeds expectations, though probabilities for 92°F+ remain secondary at under 20% combined. Updated NWS briefings ahead of the date will provide the final resolution inputs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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